Do I ship it?

GamesParkourParkour + Martial Arts

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Martial-Arts Parkour game?

Parkour + Martial Arts

Only 9 developers shipped a Martial-Arts Parkour game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Killer Bean, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.6k against a market of $630. 16 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 150645% on the market, 16 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Martial Arts
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Parkour + Martial Arts: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,648)
Top 25% $165k (exactly $164,803)
Top 5% $1.0M (exactly $1,021,718)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 28
Announced 16
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 150645% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Martial Arts
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 95,035 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $160k, 1 in 20 over $1.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition older $19.99 70,499 94% 2.1M $42M (exactly $42,278,250) United Front Games, Feral Interactive (… (United Front Games, Feral Interactive (Mac))
Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst older $19.99 14,078 79% 422k $8.4M (exactly $8,442,577) DICE
Overgrowth older $19.99 6,202 86% 186k $3.7M (exactly $3,719,339) Wolfire Games
Killer Bean · EA $14.99 2,272 73% 68k $1.0M (exactly $1,021,718) Killer Bean Studios LLC
Brush Burial: Gutter World $9.99 838 93% 25k $251k (exactly $251,149) Knife Demon Software
Double Dragon Revive $34.99 157 63% 4.7k $165k (exactly $164,803) YUKE’S
Lugaru HD older $9.99 356 83% 11k $107k (exactly $106,693) Wolfire Games
Tricking 0 · EA older $19.99 107 89% 3.2k $64k (exactly $64,168) Full-in Studios
No Fair Play older $2.99 452 90% 14k $41k (exactly $40,544) Self MADev
FLASH OF THE BLADE X older $2.99 74 94% 2.2k $6.6k (exactly $6,638) DOSMan Games
Kick'n Hell $7.99 17 100% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) Fire Foot Studios
UNPLUG - The Game · EA $10.99 5 100% 150 $1.6k (exactly $1,648) GoldLime Studios
Knights of the Apocalypse $24.99 1 100% 30 $750 (exactly $750) Sirius Morning Star
R.E.M. Rage $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Roger Eduardo de Couto
Forgotten spirit $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) BurningGRP
Ninja and the Quest for the Jade Statue $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) our_flag_means_fun

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.