Do I ship it?

GamesParkourParkour + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic Parkour game?

Parkour + Futuristic

Of 47 developers who shipped a Futuristic Parkour game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 114 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $79k, ×127 the market median. Revenue is up 170% on the market; 114 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 170% on the market, 114 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 47
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $1.2k → $1.2k → $599 → $2.0k → $449 → $899 (still earning) → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Parkour + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 47
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $3.7k (exactly $3,742)
Top 5% $80k (exactly $79,760)
Developers, 2 yr 47
Released games 193
Announced 114
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, 3D Platformer
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, First-Person, Stylized
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 1,285 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $600, 1 in 4 over $3.7k, 1 in 20 over $79k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 34 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 114 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III older $59.99 157,694 88% 4.7M $284M (exactly $283,801,892) Treyarch, Aspyr (Mac)
Titanfall® 2 older $29.99 255,050 95% 7.7M $229M (exactly $229,468,485) Respawn Entertainment
Watch_Dogs™ older $19.99 49,193 79% 1.5M $30M (exactly $29,501,042) Ubisoft
Mirror's Edge™ older $19.99 31,195 87% 936k $19M (exactly $18,707,642) DICE
Bomb Rush Cyberfunk older $39.99 12,645 98% 379k $15M (exactly $15,170,206) Team Reptile
Remember Me older $29.99 11,128 83% 334k $10M (exactly $10,011,862) DONTNOD Entertainment
SpiderHeck older $14.99 3,922 93% 118k $1.8M (exactly $1,763,723) Neverjam
STRIDE older $19.99 1,975 79% 59k $1.2M (exactly $1,184,408) Joy Way
Tokyo 42 older $19.99 392 70% 12k $235k (exactly $235,082) SMAC Games
Neodash older $15.99 481 90% 14k $231k (exactly $230,736) Axan Gray
BAIONLENJA · EA $12.99 510 97% 15k $199k (exactly $198,747) BAION
Relooted $14.99 257 87% 7.7k $116k (exactly $115,573) Nyamakop
Clockwork Ambrosia $19.99 133 84% 4.0k $80k (exactly $79,760) Realmsoft
CYBERMATRIX $12.00 127 89% 3.8k $46k (exactly $45,720) Tim Murich
DeadCore Redux $14.99 46 93% 1.4k $21k (exactly $20,686) 5 Bits Games
Jumpbound $12.99 50 94% 1.5k $19k (exactly $19,485) Another Round Entertainment
Dystopian Pet Simulator · EA $5.99 49 93% 1.5k $8.8k (exactly $8,805) dinca.team
Dubio $4.99 56 94% 1.7k $8.4k (exactly $8,383) AJ Kolenc, Richard Boeser
SPiNG $9.99 20 95% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) SMG Studio
Ticking Together $4.99 37 97% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) Furkan Baytak, Furkan Özkaya

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.