Do I ship it?

GamesParkourParkour + Collectathon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Parkour game?

Parkour + Collectathon

Of 37 developers who shipped a Collectathon Parkour game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 60 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×433 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 60 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 60 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Collectathon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 37
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $12k → $628 → $1.3k → $239 → $6.3k → $2.4k → $600 (still earning) → $3.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Parkour + Collectathon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 37
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $600 (exactly $600)
Top 25% $5.5k (exactly $5,452)
Top 5% $272k (exactly $271,664)
Developers, 2 yr 37
Released games 100
Announced 60
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour, Collectathon; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry 3D Platformer, Action, Exploration
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Cute, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 2,827 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $600, 1 in 4 over $5.4k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 60 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Amazing Frog? 2 · EA older $19.99 726 77% 22k $435k (exactly $435,382) Fayju
CICADAMATA" $9.99 1,419 96% 43k $425k (exactly $425,274) ✿ flowergarden
Big Hops Together $19.99 453 89% 14k $272k (exactly $271,664) Luckshot Games
Rocket Boots Mania $14.99 229 99% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Luma Play
Valkyrie Saga $7.99 288 92% 8.6k $69k (exactly $69,034) Public Void
Castle on the Coast older $14.99 126 96% 3.8k $57k (exactly $56,662) Big Heart Productions
Treasures of the Aegean older $19.99 82 86% 2.5k $49k (exactly $49,175) Undercoders
Escape from Naraka older $14.99 97 76% 2.9k $44k (exactly $43,621) XeloGames
No Fair Play older $2.99 452 90% 14k $41k (exactly $40,544) Self MADev
Jumping Jazz Cats $8.99 148 74% 4.4k $40k (exactly $39,916) Le Catnip Collective
Dark Succubus $6.99 171 77% 5.1k $36k (exactly $35,859) ZC Game
Mop Skater $6.99 41 78% 1.2k $8.6k (exactly $8,598) youpiepoopie
Pecker $9.99 21 90% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) Fonteinsoft UG
LINK Penguins $5.99 31 87% 930 $5.6k (exactly $5,571) lemorion_1224
Beat Paws Odyssey $6.99 26 88% 780 $5.5k (exactly $5,452) mindora games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.