Do I ship it?

Games › Mechanics › Party-Based RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG

Of 680 developers who shipped a Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 1,403 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×4.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $1.0M, ×1645 the market median. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 1,403 games are announced against 393 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 1,403 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 680
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.2k → $7.4k → $7.2k → $2.4k → $3.6k → $3.0k → $4.9k (still earning) → $1.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party-Based RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 680
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $3.0k (exactly $2,999)
Top 25% $36k (exactly $36,149)
Top 5% $1.0M (exactly $1,033,283)
Developers, 2 yr 680
Released games 2,190
Announced 1,403
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 334,251 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $3.0k, 1 in 4 over $36k, 1 in 20 over $1.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 388 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 1,403 games are announced against 393 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Party-Based RPG

31 pairs with a settingwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Party-Based RPG + Martial Arts Poor odds $230k 5 devs
  2. Party-Based RPG + Romance Poor odds $10k 28 devs
  3. Party-Based RPG + Dragons Poor odds $7.8k 25 devs
  4. Party-Based RPG + War Poor odds $7.8k 19 devs
  5. Party-Based RPG + Cyberpunk Poor odds $6.7k 18 devs
  6. Party-Based RPG + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $6.5k 24 devs
  7. Party-Based RPG + Historical Poor odds $5.8k 23 devs
  8. Party-Based RPG + Magic Poor odds $4.5k 161 devs
  9. Party-Based RPG + Alternate History Poor odds $4.5k 15 devs
  10. Party-Based RPG + Fantasy Poor odds $4.3k 368 devs
  11. Party-Based RPG + Medieval Poor odds $3.8k 126 devs
  12. Party-Based RPG + Mythology Poor odds $3.7k 27 devs
  13. Party-Based RPG + Nature Poor odds $3.4k 15 devs
  14. Party-Based RPG + Female Protagonist Poor odds $3.3k 91 devs
  15. Party-Based RPG + Dark Fantasy Poor odds $3.0k 125 devs
  16. Party-Based RPG + Demons Poor odds $3.0k 25 devs
  17. Party-Based RPG + Sci-fi Poor odds $3.0k 55 devs
  18. Party-Based RPG + Post-apocalyptic Poor odds $3.0k 40 devs
  19. Party-Based RPG + Modern Poor odds $2.4k 16 devs
  20. Party-Based RPG + Supernatural Poor odds $1.2k 15 devs
  21. Party-Based RPG + Mystery Poor odds $899 39 devs
  22. Party-Based RPG + Horror Poor odds $719 43 devs
  23. Party-Based RPG + Robots Poor odds $719 14 devs
  24. Party-Based RPG + Psychological Horror Poor odds $718 17 devs
  25. Party-Based RPG + Futuristic Poor odds $599 23 devs
  26. Party-Based RPG + Dystopian Poor odds $599 13 devs
  27. Party-Based RPG + Space Poor odds $599 13 devs
  28. Party-Based RPG + Zombies Poor odds $450 18 devs
  29. Party-Based RPG + Artificial Intelligence Poor odds $359 13 devs
  30. Party-Based RPG + Detective Poor odds $150 11 devs
  31. Party-Based RPG + Lovecraftian Dead $2.2k 9 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 2025 · $272M Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition 2017 · $244M Persona 5 Royal 2022 · $165M Kenshi 2018 · $89M Persona 3 Reload 2024 · $78M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 $49.99 181,667 95% 5.5M $272M (exactly $272,446,000) Sandfall Interactive
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition older $44.99 180,782 95% 5.4M $244M (exactly $244,001,465) Larian Studios
Persona 5 Royal older $59.99 91,682 96% 2.8M $165M (exactly $165,000,095) ATLUS
Kenshi older $29.99 98,451 95% 3.0M $89M (exactly $88,576,365) Lo-Fi Games
Persona 3 Reload older $59.99 43,497 95% 1.3M $78M (exactly $78,281,551) ATLUS
Metaphor: ReFantazio $69.99 25,224 89% 757k $53M (exactly $52,962,833) ATLUS
FINAL FANTASY VII REMAKE INTERGRADE older $39.99 43,473 87% 1.3M $52M (exactly $52,154,558) Square Enix
OMORI older $19.99 79,836 97% 2.4M $48M (exactly $47,877,649) OMOCAT, LLC
Persona 4 Golden older $19.99 71,306 97% 2.1M $43M (exactly $42,762,208) ATLUS
FINAL FANTASY VII REBIRTH $49.99 25,363 75% 761k $38M (exactly $38,036,891) Square Enix
FINAL FANTASY XVI $49.99 24,065 78% 722k $36M (exactly $36,090,280) Square Enix
Digimon Story Time Stranger $69.99 15,845 89% 475k $33M (exactly $33,269,746) Media.Vision Inc.
FANTASY LIFE i: The Girl Who Steals Time $59.99 11,771 91% 353k $21M (exactly $21,184,269) LEVEL5 Inc.
Wayfinder $24.99 25,104 60% 753k $19M (exactly $18,820,469) Airship Syndicate
Fellowship · EA $24.99 15,357 74% 461k $12M (exactly $11,513,143) Chief Rebel
Sora no Kiseki the 1st $59.99 5,205 97% 156k $9.4M (exactly $9,367,438) Nihon Falcom
Trails in the Sky 1st Chapter $59.99 4,650 95% 140k $8.4M (exactly $8,368,605) Nihon Falcom

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.