Do I ship it?

Games › Party-Based RPG › Party-Based RPG + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG + Nature

Only 15 developers shipped a Nature Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Kabuto Park, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced, ×6.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.4k, ×5.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $640k, ×1032 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 45 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 45 announced, ×6.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $237k → $3.4k → $1.5k → $8.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Median $3.4k (exactly $3,448)
Top 25% $38k (exactly $38,381)
Top 5% $648k (exactly $648,051)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 39
Announced 45
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 97% positive over 5,185 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $3.4k, 1 in 4 over $38k, 1 in 20 over $640k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds5 devs · median $230k · 16 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  12. + IncrementalPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 45 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Monochrome Mobius: Rights and Wrongs Forgotten 2022 · $1.4M Small Saga 2023 · $1.1M Kabuto Park 2025 · $648k Utawarerumono: Past and Present Rediscovered 2026 · $520k Adore 2023 · $237k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Monochrome Mobius: Rights and Wrongs Forgotten older $59.99 759 80% 23k $1.4M (exactly $1,365,972) AQUAPLUS
Small Saga older $19.99 1,821 95% 55k $1.1M (exactly $1,092,054) Darya Noghani
Kabuto Park $4.99 4,329 99% 130k $648k (exactly $648,051) Doot
Utawarerumono: Past and Present Rediscovered $59.99 289 83% 8.7k $520k (exactly $520,113) AQUAPLUS
Adore older $19.99 396 87% 12k $237k (exactly $237,481) Cadabra Games
Hive Blight · EA $12.49 367 94% 11k $138k (exactly $137,515) OptizOnion
Tenderfoot Tactics older $14.99 220 81% 6.6k $99k (exactly $98,934) Kevin Maxon, Michael Bell, Isa Hutchins… (Kevin Maxon, Michael Bell, Isa Hutchinson, Taylor Thomas, Zoe Vartanian, Madison Pathe)
Doom & Destiny Worlds older $19.99 124 78% 3.7k $74k (exactly $74,363) Heartbit Interactive
The Wolf older $9.99 186 68% 5.6k $56k (exactly $55,744) Good Luck Games
Rewrite Harvest festa! $19.99 64 96% 1.9k $38k (exactly $38,381) VisualArts/Key
Sky Oceans: Wings for Hire $24.99 45 64% 1.4k $34k (exactly $33,736) Octeto Studios
Animal Simulator $8.99 39 30% 1.2k $11k (exactly $10,518) Imperian Online - Core
Spirit Dungeon · EA $9.99 27 51% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Nemora Games
Legend of the Wargod · EA $22.99 5 100% 150 $3.4k (exactly $3,448) Revelen
Nyaz $7.99 14 85% 420 $3.4k (exactly $3,356) Altoterras Corporation
Valkyrie Destruction $14.99 6 66% 180 $2.7k (exactly $2,698) Circle Poison

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.