Do I ship it?

GamesParty-Based RPGParty-Based RPG + Psychological Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological-Horror Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG + Psychological Horror

Only 17 developers shipped a Psychological-Horror Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The NOexistenceN of Morphean Paradox : The Forest of Silver Shallots, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×5.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $350k, ×567 the market median. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 51 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 51 announced, ×5.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + Psychological Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $891 → $12k → $4.2k → $718 → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + Psychological Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $718 (exactly $718)
Top 25% $7.3k (exactly $7,335)
Top 5% $356k (exactly $355,861)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 56
Announced 51
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Psychological Horror
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Turn-Based Combat
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 1,962 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $720, 1 in 4 over $7.3k, 1 in 20 over $350k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 51 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds5 devs · median $230k · 16 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  12. + IncrementalPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 45 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
OMORI older $19.99 79,836 97% 2.4M $48M (exactly $47,877,649) OMOCAT, LLC
LISA: The Painful older $19.99 13,129 95% 394k $7.9M (exactly $7,873,461) Dingaling Productions
Fear & Hunger 2: Termina older $11.99 14,232 97% 427k $5.1M (exactly $5,119,250) Miro Haverinen
In Stars And Time older $19.99 7,835 97% 235k $4.7M (exactly $4,698,650) insertdisc5
Hylics 2 older $14.99 3,158 96% 95k $1.4M (exactly $1,420,153) Mason Lindroth
Cryptmaster older $24.99 1,671 94% 50k $1.3M (exactly $1,252,749) Paul Hart, Lee Williams, Akupara Games
THE 4 SINS older $9.99 3,377 23% 101k $1.0M (exactly $1,012,087) 奇门互娱
LiEat older $2.99 4,036 96% 121k $362k (exactly $362,029) △○□× (Miwashiba)
The NOexistenceN of Morphean Paradox : The Forest of Silver Shallots · EA $6.99 1,697 72% 51k $356k (exactly $355,861) 0x0Real Studio
Knuckle Sandwich older $19.99 517 86% 16k $310k (exactly $310,045) Andy Brophy
Cairn: Mathair's Curse $19.99 48 89% 1.4k $29k (exactly $28,786) Ross McRitchie
SkullX: Aibohphobia $9.99 76 90% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) SkullX, DSTRCT Creatives
GhostCatcher · EA $8.99 45 51% 1.4k $12k (exactly $12,136) SilverLuna Rift
STARWEAVE $4.99 49 95% 1.5k $7.3k (exactly $7,335) Studio Starweave
Mythic Mire $9.99 14 78% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) resnijars
Depth of Mind $5.99 15 86% 450 $2.7k (exactly $2,696) FunB4nan
Keep It Running: Together $5.99 4 100% 120 $719 (exactly $719) EvilDraggie, Evil Turtle Productions
NeverHome Ch.2 - Tower of Vanity $2.99 8 100% 240 $718 (exactly $718) Shadow Gengis
Crimson Moon $2.99 6 83% 180 $538 (exactly $538) Spear Soft

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.