Do I ship it?

GamesParty-Based RPGParty-Based RPG + War

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a War Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG + War

Only 19 developers shipped a War Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cyber Knights: Flashpoint, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 53 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $7.8k, ×12 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.8k; 1 in 20 cleared $2.6M, ×4192 the market median. Revenue is up 1265% on the market; 53 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 12.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 1265% on the market, 53 announced, ×5.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + War
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $63k → $8.5k → $3.4k → $346k → $779 (still earning) → $58k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + War: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Median $7.8k (exactly $7,794)
Top 25% $181k (exactly $181,318)
Top 5% $2.6M (exactly $2,632,522)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 54
Announced 53
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1265% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
War
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Tactical RPG, Character Customization
Price point
$14.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 6,652 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.8k, median $7.8k, 1 in 4 over $180k, 1 in 20 over $2.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.8k. 6 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 53 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds5 devs · median $230k · 16 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  12. + IncrementalPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 45 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cyber Knights: Flashpoint $29.99 2,926 93% 88k $2.6M (exactly $2,632,522) Trese Brothers
Lost Eidolons older $34.99 1,727 69% 52k $1.8M (exactly $1,812,832) Ocean Drive Studio, Inc.
Crown and Adventure $19.99 1,693 61% 51k $1.0M (exactly $1,015,292) C3D Games
Long Gone Days older $24.99 468 88% 14k $351k (exactly $350,860) This I Dreamt
Every Day We Fight · EA $29.99 385 72% 12k $346k (exactly $346,384) Signal Space Lab
Rise of the Third Power older $19.99 489 88% 15k $293k (exactly $293,253) Stegosoft Games
FAIRY TAIL 2 $59.99 162 61% 4.9k $292k (exactly $291,551) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Korea Dynasty (조선메타실록) · EA older $23.99 267 72% 8.0k $192k (exactly $192,160) Happy Daram Inc.
Breath of Fire IV $9.99 605 74% 18k $181k (exactly $181,318) CAPCOM Co., Ltd., GOG.com
Chaos Front $19.99 252 59% 7.6k $151k (exactly $151,124) Han Zhiyu
Beloved Rapture $19.99 237 82% 7.1k $142k (exactly $142,129) Rapturous Studio
CREATION OF THE GODS: Rebellion at Five Passes $14.99 222 89% 6.7k $100k (exactly $99,833) TQGameStudio
The Adventurers $12.99 150 78% 4.5k $58k (exactly $58,455) Eternal Vigilance Entertainment
Three Kingdoms: Shu-Han Chronicles $12.99 20 45% 600 $7.8k (exactly $7,794) QianFan Game

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.