Do I ship it?

GamesParty-Based RPGParty-Based RPG + Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Horror Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG + Horror

Of 43 developers who shipped a Horror Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 72 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $83k, ×134 the market median. Revenue is up 440% on the market; 72 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 440% on the market, 72 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 43
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $32k → $13k → $748 → $539 → $1.8k → $719 (still earning) → $13k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 43
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $7.2k (exactly $7,195)
Top 5% $84k (exactly $83,895)
Developers, 2 yr 43
Released games 102
Announced 72
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 440% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Horror
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Turn-Based Combat, Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 2,509 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $720, 1 in 4 over $7.1k, 1 in 20 over $83k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. Nearly all of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 72 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds5 devs · median $230k · 16 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  12. + IncrementalPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 45 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
OMORI older $19.99 79,836 97% 2.4M $48M (exactly $47,877,649) OMOCAT, LLC
Ruined King: A League of Legends Story™ older $29.99 10,623 88% 319k $9.6M (exactly $9,557,513) Airship Syndicate
LISA: The Painful older $19.99 13,129 95% 394k $7.9M (exactly $7,873,461) Dingaling Productions
Fear & Hunger 2: Termina older $11.99 14,232 97% 427k $5.1M (exactly $5,119,250) Miro Haverinen
SKALD: Against the Black Priory older $14.99 3,325 93% 100k $1.5M (exactly $1,495,252) High North Studios AS
Stygian: Reign of the Old Ones older $19.99 1,804 66% 54k $1.1M (exactly $1,081,859) Cultic Games
THE 4 SINS older $9.99 3,377 23% 101k $1.0M (exactly $1,012,087) 奇门互娱
Dead Age 2: The Zombie Survival RPG older $17.99 1,154 75% 35k $623k (exactly $622,814) Silent Dreams
Mary Skelter: Nightmares older $24.99 541 82% 16k $406k (exactly $405,588) Idea Factory
Deathbound older $29.99 216 68% 6.5k $194k (exactly $194,335) Trialforge Studio
Shards of Order $9.99 578 90% 17k $173k (exactly $173,227) Fardust
THYSIASTERY $17.49 309 80% 9.3k $162k (exactly $162,132) DIRGA
Miseria $7.99 350 58% 11k $84k (exactly $83,895) Somnambulist Games
Chained in the Backrooms · EA $2.99 933 68% 28k $84k (exactly $83,690) Task+ Studios
Cairn: Mathair's Curse $19.99 48 89% 1.4k $29k (exactly $28,786) Ross McRitchie
Vessel $6.99 116 17% 3.5k $24k (exactly $24,325) OJStudio
RAVENSBURG $14.99 45 95% 1.4k $20k (exactly $20,236) Lilian Duleroux
Werewolf Party $7.99 56 89% 1.7k $13k (exactly $13,423) Absam Studios
Board Game Society $14.99 29 62% 870 $13k (exactly $13,041) Jetebra Games
GhostCatcher · EA $8.99 45 51% 1.4k $12k (exactly $12,136) SilverLuna Rift

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.