Do I ship it?

GamesParty-Based RPGParty-Based RPG + Martial Arts

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Martial-Arts Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG + Martial Arts

Only 5 developers shipped a Martial-Arts Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Beast Saga, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $230k, ×366 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $47k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.7M, ×2721 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 16 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 366.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 16 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + Martial Arts
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + Martial Arts: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $47k (exactly $46,784)
Median $230k (exactly $230,054)
Top 25% $1.0M (exactly $1,033,283)
Top 5% $1.7M (exactly $1,709,006)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 25
Announced 16
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $19.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: too few recent games to read.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Martial Arts
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG
Price point
$19.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $20.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 19,285 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $47k, median $230k, 1 in 4 over $1.0M, 1 in 20 over $1.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $47k. 16 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  5. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  6. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  7. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  8. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  10. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  11. + IncrementalPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 45 announced
  12. + Grid-Based MovementPoor odds46 devs · median $13k · 87 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Beast Saga $20.99 2,714 80% 81k $1.7M (exactly $1,709,006) 嘉兴黑曜石(Jiaxing Obsidian)
Psychic Kung Fu Master $19.99 1,723 60% 52k $1.0M (exactly $1,033,283) 金十四工作室
Jade Empire™: Special Edition older $14.99 1,887 76% 57k $849k (exactly $848,584) BioWare
英雄群侠传II older $11.99 2,103 88% 63k $756k (exactly $756,449) 熊窝dodox
Xuan-Yuan Sword: The Scar of Sky older $9.99 2,437 93% 73k $730k (exactly $730,369) DOMO Studio, SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
Sword and Fairy older $4.99 3,947 97% 118k $591k (exactly $590,866) SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
Xuan-Yuan Sword: Mists Beyond the Mountains older $13.99 1,161 84% 35k $487k (exactly $487,272) DOMO Studio, SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
Sword and Fairy 3 older $7.99 1,936 84% 58k $464k (exactly $464,059) SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(SHANGHAI)
万象群侠传 $8.99 853 85% 26k $230k (exactly $230,054) 火天工作室
Sword and Fairy 3 Ex older $7.99 524 82% 16k $126k (exactly $125,603) SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(SHANGHAI)
Class of Heroes 3 Remaster $29.99 52 67% 1.6k $47k (exactly $46,784) ACQUIRE Corp., Zerodiv
武道残编 $3.99 37 59% 1.1k $4.4k (exactly $4,429) 武道

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.