Do I ship it?

GamesParty-Based RPGParty-Based RPG + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG + Mythology

Of 27 developers who shipped a Mythological Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.7k, ×5.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $2.0M, ×3209 the market median. Revenue is up 160% on the market; 57 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 160% on the market, 57 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $63k → $29k → $21k → $1.5k → $13k → $4.3k → $1.8k (still earning) → $3.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Median $3.7k (exactly $3,730)
Top 25% $28k (exactly $28,172)
Top 5% $2.0M (exactly $2,015,524)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 70
Announced 57
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 160% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Strategy, Turn-Based Combat
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $25.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, Story Rich, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $25.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 21,551 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $3.7k, 1 in 4 over $28k, 1 in 20 over $2.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds5 devs · median $230k · 16 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  12. + IncrementalPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 45 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Digimon Story Time Stranger $69.99 15,845 89% 475k $33M (exactly $33,269,746) Media.Vision Inc.
Shin Megami Tensei III Nocturne HD Remaster older $49.99 3,989 87% 120k $6.0M (exactly $5,982,303) ATLUS
Aethermancer · EA $25.99 2,585 91% 78k $2.0M (exactly $2,015,524) moi rai games
Rebellion GODSOUL: Awakening · EA $17.99 2,458 85% 74k $1.3M (exactly $1,326,583) U-Secret Studio
Journey to the West older $19.99 1,470 79% 44k $882k (exactly $881,559) Z Studio
Jade Empire™: Special Edition older $14.99 1,887 76% 57k $849k (exactly $848,584) BioWare
Operencia: The Stolen Sun older $29.99 537 76% 16k $483k (exactly $483,139) Zen Studios
Sword and Fairy 3 older $7.99 1,936 84% 58k $464k (exactly $464,059) SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(SHANGHAI)
封神榜2022 older $9.99 927 91% 28k $278k (exactly $277,822) FC Maker
Adore older $19.99 396 87% 12k $237k (exactly $237,481) Cadabra Games
CREATION OF THE GODS: Rebellion at Five Passes $14.99 222 89% 6.7k $100k (exactly $99,833) TQGameStudio
Guards II: Chaos in Hell $15.99 125 96% 3.8k $60k (exactly $59,962) Battlecruiser Games
Thousand Hells: The Underworld Heists $24.99 76 78% 2.3k $57k (exactly $56,977) A Sharp
The Hidden Scrolls $9.99 94 69% 2.8k $28k (exactly $28,172) Red Dragon Studio
Makai Agito $9.99 72 94% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,578) Gumi Bytes, Dani Sugimoto-Lee
Toward Dawn $14.99 47 100% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Devi Serene
G-MODEアーカイブス+ 真・女神転生-20XX $15.99 27 88% 810 $13k (exactly $12,952) G-MODE, ATLUS

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.