Do I ship it?

Games › Party-Based RPG › Party-Based RPG + Dystopian

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dystopian Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG + Dystopian

Only 13 developers shipped a Dystopian Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Keylocker | Turn Based Cyberpunk Action, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced, ×4.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×215 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 42 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 42 announced, ×4.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + Dystopian
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $351k → $135k → $3.0k → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + Dystopian: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $6.3k (exactly $6,296)
Top 5% $135k (exactly $134,932)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 36
Announced 42
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Dystopian
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 384 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $600, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds5 devs · median $230k · 16 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  12. + IncrementalPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 45 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Shin Megami Tensei III Nocturne HD Remaster 2021 · $6.0M Colony Ship: A Post-Earth Role Playing Game 2023 · $4.9M METAL MAX Xeno Reborn 2022 · $533k FINAL FANTASY VII 2013 · $527k Jack Move 2022 · $488k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Shin Megami Tensei III Nocturne HD Remaster older $49.99 3,989 87% 120k $6.0M (exactly $5,982,303) ATLUS
Colony Ship: A Post-Earth Role Playing Game older $39.99 4,087 87% 123k $4.9M (exactly $4,903,174) Iron Tower Studio
METAL MAX Xeno Reborn older $39.99 444 65% 13k $533k (exactly $532,667) 24Frame,inc.
FINAL FANTASY VII older $11.99 1,464 74% 44k $527k (exactly $526,601) Square Enix, FINE Co., Ltd.
Jack Move older $19.99 813 80% 24k $488k (exactly $487,556) So Romantic
Long Gone Days older $24.99 468 88% 14k $351k (exactly $350,860) This I Dreamt
Deathbound older $29.99 216 68% 6.5k $194k (exactly $194,335) Trialforge Studio
Mary Skelter Finale older $49.99 118 70% 3.5k $177k (exactly $176,965) Compile Heart, Idea Factory, Ghostlight… (Compile Heart, Idea Factory, Ghostlight LTD)
Keylocker | Turn Based Cyberpunk Action $19.99 225 84% 6.8k $135k (exactly $134,932) Moonana
Vampire Syndicate: Gangs of MoonFall · EA $19.99 111 71% 3.3k $67k (exactly $66,567) A Memory of Eternity
G-MODEアーカイブス+ DIGITAL DEVIL SAGA アバタール・チューナー A's TEST Server完全版 $15.99 15 93% 450 $7.2k (exactly $7,196) G-MODE, ATLUS
Fractured Core $14.99 14 78% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Engram Interactive
Elohim Eternal II: Son of Man $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) George Alexandros
Fantasy Waifu Collector $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) SyKoHPaTh
Odessa $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Aldorlea Games
AUTO DERBY CASINO $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) numberonescientist
Dr. Alb's Prodigy $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Super Tiny Studios Ltd
Killest Fights CRAW-Mech $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) KGamer1, CartMart

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.