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Should I ship a Demon Party-Based RPG?
Party-Based RPG + Demons
Of 25 developers who shipped a Demon Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×4.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×464 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 41 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $270 (exactly $270) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.0k (exactly $3,045) |
| Top 25% | $13k (exactly $12,591) |
| Top 5% | $292k (exactly $291,551) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 25 |
| Released games | 71 |
| Announced | 41 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Party-Based RPG
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Demons
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Party-Based RPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, JRPG, Turn-Based Combat
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, 2D, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 74% positive over 826 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Party-Based RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Board GameFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Martial ArtsPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + IncrementalPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Shin Megami Tensei III Nocturne HD Remaster | older | $49.99 | 3,989 87% | 120k | $6.0M (exactly $5,982,303) | ATLUS |
| | Shadows: Awakening | older | $29.99 | 1,535 75% | 46k | $1.4M (exactly $1,381,040) | Games Farm |
| | Wizardry: Proving Grounds of the Mad Overlord | older | $34.99 | 1,209 77% | 36k | $1.3M (exactly $1,269,087) | Digital Eclipse |
| | Wayblazer Dämmerung | $39.99 | 244 65% | 7.3k | $293k (exactly $292,727) | Eushully | |
| | FAIRY TAIL 2 | $59.99 | 162 61% | 4.9k | $292k (exactly $291,551) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. | |
| | Tavern of Gods | older | $9.99 | 775 77% | 23k | $232k (exactly $232,268) | Element Studio |
| | Siege of Dungeon | older | $12.99 | 257 82% | 7.7k | $100k (exactly $100,153) | Binary Tree Studio |
| | Labyrinth of Zangetsu | older | $29.99 | 70 70% | 2.1k | $63k (exactly $62,979) | ACQUIRE Corp., KaeruPanda Inc. |
| | Thousand Hells: The Underworld Heists | $24.99 | 76 78% | 2.3k | $57k (exactly $56,977) | A Sharp | |
| | Zavix Tower | older | $9.99 | 174 63% | 5.2k | $52k (exactly $52,148) | Batholith Entertainment |
| | Weirdlands | $19.99 | 53 98% | 1.6k | $32k (exactly $31,784) | Martin Mejak | |
| | SkullX: Aibohphobia | $9.99 | 76 90% | 2.3k | $23k (exactly $22,777) | SkullX, DSTRCT Creatives | |
| | Makai Agito | $9.99 | 72 94% | 2.2k | $22k (exactly $21,578) | Gumi Bytes, Dani Sugimoto-Lee | |
| | G-MODEアーカイブス+ 真・女神転生-20XX | $15.99 | 27 88% | 810 | $13k (exactly $12,952) | G-MODE, ATLUS | |
| | Labyrinth Flowers | $13.99 | 30 86% | 900 | $13k (exactly $12,591) | Dry Parsley | |
| | GhostCatcher | · EA | $8.99 | 45 51% | 1.4k | $12k (exactly $12,136) | SilverLuna Rift |
| | Happy Monster | · EA | $8.99 | 41 82% | 1.2k | $11k (exactly $11,058) | Destined Game Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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