Do I ship it?

GamesParty-Based RPGParty-Based RPG + Demons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Demon Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG + Demons

Of 25 developers who shipped a Demon Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×4.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×464 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 41 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 41 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + Demons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.1k → $9.0k → $35k → $3.0k → $12k → $10k → $7.2k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + Demons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $270 (exactly $270)
Median $3.0k (exactly $3,045)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $12,591)
Top 5% $292k (exactly $291,551)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 71
Announced 41
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Demons
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, JRPG, Turn-Based Combat
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, 2D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 826 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $3.0k, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds5 devs · median $230k · 16 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  12. + IncrementalPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 45 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Shin Megami Tensei III Nocturne HD Remaster older $49.99 3,989 87% 120k $6.0M (exactly $5,982,303) ATLUS
Shadows: Awakening older $29.99 1,535 75% 46k $1.4M (exactly $1,381,040) Games Farm
Wizardry: Proving Grounds of the Mad Overlord older $34.99 1,209 77% 36k $1.3M (exactly $1,269,087) Digital Eclipse
Wayblazer Dämmerung $39.99 244 65% 7.3k $293k (exactly $292,727) Eushully
FAIRY TAIL 2 $59.99 162 61% 4.9k $292k (exactly $291,551) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Tavern of Gods older $9.99 775 77% 23k $232k (exactly $232,268) Element Studio
Siege of Dungeon older $12.99 257 82% 7.7k $100k (exactly $100,153) Binary Tree Studio
Labyrinth of Zangetsu older $29.99 70 70% 2.1k $63k (exactly $62,979) ACQUIRE Corp., KaeruPanda Inc.
Thousand Hells: The Underworld Heists $24.99 76 78% 2.3k $57k (exactly $56,977) A Sharp
Zavix Tower older $9.99 174 63% 5.2k $52k (exactly $52,148) Batholith Entertainment
Weirdlands $19.99 53 98% 1.6k $32k (exactly $31,784) Martin Mejak
SkullX: Aibohphobia $9.99 76 90% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) SkullX, DSTRCT Creatives
Makai Agito $9.99 72 94% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,578) Gumi Bytes, Dani Sugimoto-Lee
G-MODEアーカイブス+ 真・女神転生-20XX $15.99 27 88% 810 $13k (exactly $12,952) G-MODE, ATLUS
Labyrinth Flowers $13.99 30 86% 900 $13k (exactly $12,591) Dry Parsley
GhostCatcher · EA $8.99 45 51% 1.4k $12k (exactly $12,136) SilverLuna Rift
Happy Monster · EA $8.99 41 82% 1.2k $11k (exactly $11,058) Destined Game Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.