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Should I ship a Supernatural Party-Based RPG?
Party-Based RPG + Supernatural
Only 15 developers shipped a Supernatural Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, THYSIASTERY, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $160k, ×258 the market median. Revenue is up 1130% on the market; 30 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $210 (exactly $210) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
| Top 25% | $13k (exactly $13,041) |
| Top 5% | $162k (exactly $162,132) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 30 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1130% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Party-Based RPG
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Supernatural
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Party-Based RPG; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Turn-Based Combat, RPG, Board Game
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 81% positive over 635 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $210. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Party-Based RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Board GameFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Martial ArtsPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + IncrementalPoor odds
Comparable games
Persona 3 Reload 2024 · $78M 
Shardpunk 2023 · $310k 
THYSIASTERY 2026 · $162k 
The Outbound Ghost 2022 · $135k 
Echo Generation: Midnight Edition 2024 · $116k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Persona 3 Reload | older | $59.99 | 43,497 95% | 1.3M | $78M (exactly $78,281,551) | ATLUS |
| | Shardpunk | older | $13.99 | 739 92% | 22k | $310k (exactly $310,158) | Clockwork Pile |
| | THYSIASTERY | $17.49 | 309 80% | 9.3k | $162k (exactly $162,132) | DIRGA | |
| | The Outbound Ghost | older | $19.99 | 225 68% | 6.8k | $135k (exactly $134,932) | Conradical Games, Radhood |
| | Echo Generation: Midnight Edition | older | $24.99 | 155 92% | 4.7k | $116k (exactly $116,204) | Cococucumber |
 | Erannorth Renaissance | $19.99 | 186 81% | 5.6k | $112k (exactly $111,544) | Spyridon Thalassinos | |
 | Mato Anomalies | older | $14.99 | 131 70% | 3.9k | $59k (exactly $58,911) | Arrowiz |
 | Makai Agito | $9.99 | 72 94% | 2.2k | $22k (exactly $21,578) | Gumi Bytes, Dani Sugimoto-Lee | |
 | Board Game Society | $14.99 | 29 62% | 870 | $13k (exactly $13,041) | Jetebra Games | |
 | Unyielding | older | $9.99 | 43 79% | 1.3k | $13k (exactly $12,887) | MERCERNARY MAGE GAMES |
 | Sahir: Shiv of Memories | $8.80 | 21 85% | 630 | $5.5k (exactly $5,544) | HCY Games | |
 | Legend of the Wargod | · EA | $22.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $3.4k (exactly $3,448) | Revelen |
 | Stitched Together | $19.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $2.4k (exactly $2,399) | Tekkou Studios | |
 | Chronicles of Veldoria | · EA | $9.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | Next Level Gaming |
 | Puppet Seed | $8.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $809 (exactly $809) | Moosopolis Games | |
 | Calvin's Gallery | · EA | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Crimson |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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