Do I ship it?

GamesParty-Based RPGParty-Based RPG + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG + Cyberpunk

Only 18 developers shipped a Cyberpunk Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cyber Knights: Flashpoint, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.7k, ×11 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $2.6M, ×4192 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 35 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 35 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $57k → $1.3M → $1.1k → $11k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $6.7k (exactly $6,716)
Top 25% $67k (exactly $66,567)
Top 5% $2.6M (exactly $2,632,522)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 50
Announced 35
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Turn-Based Combat, JRPG
Price point
$14.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 6,227 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $6.7k, 1 in 4 over $66k, 1 in 20 over $2.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 5 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds5 devs · median $230k · 16 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  12. + IncrementalPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 45 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Colony Ship: A Post-Earth Role Playing Game older $39.99 4,087 87% 123k $4.9M (exactly $4,903,174) Iron Tower Studio
Cyber Knights: Flashpoint $29.99 2,926 93% 88k $2.6M (exactly $2,632,522) Trese Brothers
Rebellion GODSOUL: Awakening · EA $17.99 2,458 85% 74k $1.3M (exactly $1,326,583) U-Secret Studio
FINAL FANTASY VII older $11.99 1,464 74% 44k $527k (exactly $526,601) Square Enix, FINE Co., Ltd.
Jack Move older $19.99 813 80% 24k $488k (exactly $487,556) So Romantic
StarCrawlers older $19.99 793 82% 24k $476k (exactly $475,562) Juggernaut Games
Cosmic Star Heroine older $14.99 819 89% 25k $368k (exactly $368,304) Zeboyd Digital Entertainment LLC
Beyond Galaxyland $14.99 314 85% 9.4k $141k (exactly $141,206) Sam Enright
Keylocker | Turn Based Cyberpunk Action $19.99 225 84% 6.8k $135k (exactly $134,932) Moonana
Memoirs of a Battle Brothel older $19.99 207 84% 6.2k $124k (exactly $124,138) A Memory of Eternity
Vampire Syndicate: Gangs of MoonFall · EA $19.99 111 71% 3.3k $67k (exactly $66,567) A Memory of Eternity
Tomomon $14.99 126 70% 3.8k $57k (exactly $56,662) ManicBuild Studio
G-MODEアーカイブス+ ゼノサーガ パイドパイパー $15.99 23 100% 690 $11k (exactly $11,033) G-MODE, Bandai Namco Entertainment Inc.
Holonoptic $19.95 16 93% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,576) Glazial
Prometheus Wept · EA $15.99 14 92% 420 $6.7k (exactly $6,716) Timeslip Softworks
Fractured Core $14.99 14 78% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Engram Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.