Do I ship it?

GamesMechanicsMinigames

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Minigames game?

Minigames

Of 194 developers who shipped a Minigames game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 231 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×19 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $480. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 231 games are announced against 121 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 19.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 231 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Minigames
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 194
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.6k → $1.5k → $5.0k → $3.1k → $4.1k → $1.9k → $2.1k (still earning) → $898 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Minigames: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 194
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,307)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,800)
Top 5% $789k (exactly $788,919)
Developers, 2 yr 194
Released games 648
Announced 231
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Minigames
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Minigames
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 47,349 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $780k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 99 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 231 games are announced against 121 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Minigames

59 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Minigames + LGBTQ+ Strong odds $53k 14 devs
  2. Immersive Sim + Minigames Strong odds $24k 15 devs
  3. Life Sim + Minigames Strong odds $11k 20 devs
  4. Minigames + Visual Novel Fair $22k 20 devs
  5. Sandbox + Minigames Fair $17k 9 devs
  6. Minigames + Romance Fair $11k 14 devs
  7. Management + Minigames Fair $7.4k 22 devs
  8. Exploration + Minigames Fair $6.7k 31 devs
  9. Action-Adventure + Minigames Fair $6.7k 18 devs
  10. Character Customization + Minigames Fair $5.7k 27 devs
  11. Minigames + Horror Fair $4.0k 12 devs
  12. Minigames + Magic Fair $2.4k 8 devs
  13. Minigames + Nature Fair $2.1k 15 devs
  14. Collectathon + Minigames Fair $1.4k 12 devs
  15. Minigames + Cats Fair $1.4k 12 devs
  16. Arcade + Minigames Fair $1.3k 57 devs
  17. Minigames + Fantasy Fair $1.3k 23 devs
  18. Minigames + Puzzle Fair $900 47 devs
  19. PvE + Minigames Fair $899 9 devs
  20. Score Attack + Minigames Fair $629 28 devs
  21. Hidden Object + Minigames Fair $479 9 devs
  22. RPG + Minigames Poor odds $40k 19 devs
  23. Dating Sim + Minigames Poor odds $36k 10 devs
  24. Co-op + Minigames Poor odds $17k 28 devs
  25. Open World + Minigames Poor odds $17k 8 devs
  26. Minigames + Female Protagonist Poor odds $11k 27 devs
  27. Local Co-Op + Minigames Poor odds $9.9k 17 devs
  28. Online Co-Op + Minigames Poor odds $9.2k 22 devs
  29. Local Multiplayer + Minigames Poor odds $7.2k 26 devs
  30. 4 Player Local + Minigames Poor odds $7.2k 12 devs
  31. Simulation + Minigames Poor odds $7.2k 50 devs
  32. Adventure + Minigames Poor odds $6.7k 58 devs
  33. Platformer + Minigames Poor odds $4.6k 18 devs
  34. Party Game + Minigames Poor odds $4.0k 28 devs
  35. PvP + Minigames Poor odds $3.3k 35 devs
  36. Physics + Minigames Poor odds $3.3k 21 devs
  37. 3D Platformer + Minigames Poor odds $3.3k 9 devs
  38. Resource Management + Minigames Poor odds $2.9k 15 devs
  39. Survival + Minigames Poor odds $2.9k 10 devs
  40. Action + Minigames Poor odds $2.4k 75 devs
  41. 2D Platformer + Minigames Poor odds $2.4k 20 devs
  42. Strategy + Minigames Poor odds $2.3k 32 devs
  43. Shooter + Minigames Poor odds $2.3k 11 devs
  44. Choices Matter + Minigames Poor odds $2.3k 23 devs
  45. Minigames + Idler Poor odds $2.1k 25 devs
  46. Minigames + Incremental Poor odds $1.3k 22 devs
  47. Multiple Endings + Minigames Poor odds $900 18 devs
  48. Minigames + Mystery Poor odds $900 13 devs
  49. Combat + Minigames Poor odds $899 13 devs
  50. Time Management + Minigames Poor odds $897 12 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
It Takes Two older $39.99 218,492 95% 6.6M $262M (exactly $262,124,852) Hazelight Studios
Among Us older $4.99 659,003 92% 20M $99M (exactly $98,652,749) Innersloth
Car Mechanic Simulator 2021 older $24.99 36,950 95% 1.1M $28M (exactly $27,701,415) Red Dot Games
Star Wars Outlaws $69.99 12,268 71% 368k $26M (exactly $25,759,120) Massive Entertainment – A Ubisoft Studio
Pummel Party older $14.99 46,134 88% 1.4M $21M (exactly $20,746,460) Rebuilt Games
Yakuza: Like a Dragon older $19.99 28,036 93% 841k $17M (exactly $16,813,189) RGG Studio
Like a Dragon: Ishin! older $39.99 4,891 80% 147k $5.9M (exactly $5,867,733) RGG Studio
UFO 50 $24.99 7,134 94% 214k $5.3M (exactly $5,348,360) Mossmouth
Yakuza 6: The Song of Life older $19.99 7,017 92% 211k $4.2M (exactly $4,208,095) RGG Studio
Plants vs. Zombies™: Replanted $19.99 6,898 66% 207k $4.1M (exactly $4,136,731) PopCap Games, The Lost Pixels
Rift of the NecroDancer $19.99 5,844 93% 175k $3.5M (exactly $3,504,647) Brace Yourself Games, Tic Toc Studios I… (Brace Yourself Games, Tic Toc Studios Inc.)
Gunsmith Simulator $24.99 3,165 84% 95k $2.4M (exactly $2,372,800) GameHunters
LEGO® Party! $39.99 1,112 87% 33k $1.3M (exactly $1,334,066) SMG Studio
BRAVELY DEFAULT FLYING FAIRY HD Remaster $39.99 803 91% 24k $963k (exactly $963,359) Square Enix, Cattle Call Inc.
Among Us 3D $9.99 3,056 72% 92k $916k (exactly $915,883) Schell Games, Innersloth
Bits & Bops $15.99 1,799 91% 54k $863k (exactly $862,980) Tempo Lab Games
Feign $4.99 5,270 91% 158k $789k (exactly $788,919) Teneke Kafalar

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.