Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + Minigames

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Minigames Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Minigames

Only 15 developers shipped a Minigames Immersive Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ugoku Sushi Bar, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $24k, ×16 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $7.4k. Revenue is up 165% on the market; 11 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×1.1 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 16.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 165% on the market, 11 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Minigames
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.0k → $7.4k (still earning) → $45k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Minigames: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $7.4k (exactly $7,431)
Median $24k (exactly $24,284)
Top 25% $58k (exactly $57,676)
Top 5% $123k (exactly $123,145)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 26
Announced 11
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 165% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Minigames
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, Minigames
Price point
$12.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 1,546 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $7.5k, median $24k, 1 in 4 over $57k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $7.5k. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  4. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  5. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  6. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  7. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  8. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  10. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  11. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced
  12. + Time TravelFair20 devs · median $3.7k · 10 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Car Mechanic Simulator 2021 older $24.99 36,950 95% 1.1M $28M (exactly $27,701,415) Red Dot Games
American Theft 80s older $19.99 1,029 73% 31k $617k (exactly $617,091) Noble Muffins
Rover Mechanic Simulator older $11.99 376 82% 11k $135k (exactly $135,247) ▲ Pyramid Games
Ugoku Sushi Bar $12.99 316 88% 9.5k $123k (exactly $123,145) Rogue Duck Interactive
Lust Sisters 🔞 $14.99 215 67% 6.5k $97k (exactly $96,686) Carnality INC
Happy Endings $6.99 429 86% 13k $90k (exactly $89,961) Late Night Studios
OnlyFuck - RuRu's Adventures older $9.99 233 59% 7.0k $70k (exactly $69,830) NSFW18 Games
Seclusa $12.99 148 97% 4.4k $58k (exactly $57,676) Studio Niente
Sex Industry XXX $9.99 160 62% 4.8k $48k (exactly $47,952) Lust Desires 🖤
SEXNATURAL: MILFs Must Be Filled 😈💦 $14.99 100 84% 3.0k $45k (exactly $44,970) Juicy Peach Games 🍑
FRESHMAN: Project SEX 🔞 $14.99 80 73% 2.4k $36k (exactly $35,976) Lewd Star
Garage Flipper $14.99 54 37% 1.6k $24k (exactly $24,284) Farmind Studio
World Tree Ranch: Elven Legacy $16.99 21 57% 630 $11k (exactly $10,704) Closed Garden
SickWay VR $12.99 23 78% 690 $9.0k (exactly $8,963) ALIEN studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.