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Should I ship a Physics Minigames game?
Physics + Minigames
Of 21 developers who shipped a Physics Minigames game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.3k, ×5.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $37k, ×60 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 34 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) |
| Top 25% | $9.0k (exactly $8,963) |
| Top 5% | $38k (exactly $37,775) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 21 |
| Released games | 59 |
| Announced | 34 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Physics, Minigames; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, Online Co-Op
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 95% positive over 3,262 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
RUMBLE 2022 · EA · $2.4M 
FlatOut 2007 · $1.3M 
Sledding Game 2026 · EA · $699k 
Coin Pusher Casino 2024 · $356k 
Takelings House Party 2019 · EA · $183k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | RUMBLE | · EA older | $24.99 | 3,158 87% | 95k | $2.4M (exactly $2,367,553) | Buckethead Entertainment |
| | FlatOut | older | $7.49 | 5,870 91% | 176k | $1.3M (exactly $1,318,989) | Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Me… (Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Media, Jordan Freeman Group) |
| | Sledding Game | · EA | $7.99 | 2,915 96% | 87k | $699k (exactly $698,726) | The Sledding Corporation |
| | Coin Pusher Casino | older | $12.50 | 950 84% | 29k | $356k (exactly $356,250) | TreeNutsGames |
| | Takelings House Party | · EA older | $19.99 | 305 79% | 9.2k | $183k (exactly $182,908) | DimnHouse |
 | Creature Crafter | older | $7.99 | 745 86% | 22k | $179k (exactly $178,576) | Daniel Lochner |
 | Zup! Zero | older | $1.99 | 2,572 93% | 77k | $154k (exactly $153,548) | Quiet River |
 | Hotel R'n'R | older | $19.99 | 199 93% | 6.0k | $119k (exactly $119,340) | Wolf & Wood Interactive Ltd |
 | Very Very Valet | older | $14.99 | 94 97% | 2.8k | $42k (exactly $42,272) | Toyful LLC |
 | Electro Bop Boxing League | $14.99 | 84 79% | 2.5k | $38k (exactly $37,775) | Developer Dob | |
 | Dino Party | $11.99 | 56 98% | 1.7k | $20k (exactly $20,143) | Studio Nachtwerk | |
 | Roombattle | $7.49 | 57 98% | 1.7k | $13k (exactly $12,808) | Dust Games | |
 | WHAT THE PAK?! | · EA | $5.99 | 51 72% | 1.5k | $9.2k (exactly $9,165) | Wendigo Games, Broken Lyre Entertainment |
 | SickWay VR | $12.99 | 23 78% | 690 | $9.0k (exactly $8,963) | ALIEN studio | |
 | Which Way Up: Galaxy Games | $14.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $7.2k (exactly $7,195) | Turtle Flip Studio | |
 | Sklime - A Difficult Climbing Adventure | $7.99 | 28 96% | 840 | $6.7k (exactly $6,712) | Zankai, Zanthous | |
 | Solvimus | $19.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $6.6k (exactly $6,597) | Iocus GmbH | |
 | Potato Arena | $9.99 | 21 71% | 630 | $6.3k (exactly $6,294) | Erik Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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