Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Minigames

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Minigames Life Sim?

Life Sim + Minigames

Of 20 developers who shipped a Minigames Life Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $11k, ×23 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $4.4k. Revenue is up 25% on the market; 19 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×1.3 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 22.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 25% on the market, 19 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Minigames
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.1k → $7.4k (still earning) → $11k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Life Sim + Minigames: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $4.5k (exactly $4,497)
Median $11k (exactly $10,695)
Top 25% $45k (exactly $44,970)
Top 5% $394k (exactly $393,806)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 28
Announced 19
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Minigames
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Life Sim, Minigames; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Character Customization, Choices Matter
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 2,525 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $4.5k, median $11k, 1 in 4 over $44k, 1 in 20 over $390k.

3 in 10 developers made under $4.5k. 5 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  3. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  4. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  5. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  7. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  8. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  9. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  10. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  11. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced
  12. + Walking SimulatorFair126 devs · median $1.3k · 144 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
On-Together: Virtual Co-Working $9.99 1,314 93% 39k $394k (exactly $393,806) GigaPuff
Youtubers Life 3 $19.99 468 50% 14k $281k (exactly $280,660) UPLAY Online
Lust Sisters 🔞 $14.99 215 67% 6.5k $97k (exactly $96,686) Carnality INC
Mythmatch $19.99 124 98% 3.7k $74k (exactly $74,363) Team Artichoke
SEXNATURAL: MILFs Must Be Filled 😈💦 $14.99 100 84% 3.0k $45k (exactly $44,970) Juicy Peach Games 🍑
Yokai: Lust Secret 🪭 $14.99 89 83% 2.7k $40k (exactly $40,023) Lewd Star
Brothel Secrets 🔞 older $9.99 125 72% 3.8k $37k (exactly $37,462) Octo Games
Lust Night💋 $9.99 105 72% 3.2k $31k (exactly $31,468) Play and Cum 💦
OnlyFuck 2: Scarlett older $9.99 91 52% 2.7k $27k (exactly $27,273) NSFW18 Games, Jul3DX
SEX, LOVE & GIRLS❤️💦 older $3.99 187 54% 5.6k $22k (exactly $22,384) Octo Games
Neopets - Mega Mini Games Collection - The Neopian Arcade Odyssey $9.99 38 31% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) No Gravity Games
World Tree Ranch: Elven Legacy $16.99 21 57% 630 $11k (exactly $10,704) Closed Garden
Garland Boy $6.99 51 100% 1.5k $11k (exactly $10,695) Wappen Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.