Do I ship it?

GamesMinigamesMinigames + Magic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Magic Minigames game?

Minigames + Magic

Only 8 developers shipped a Magic Minigames game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cauldron, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×5.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $480. Revenue is up 700% on the market; 11 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 700% on the market, 11 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Minigames + Magic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $839 → $959 → $539 → $2.4k
Outcomes for Minigames + Magic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,399)
Top 25% $26k (exactly $26,083)
Top 5% $755k (exactly $754,597)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 35
Announced 11
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 700% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Minigames
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Magic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Minigames
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 92% positive over 1,801 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $750k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Minigames with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Strong odds14 devs · median $53k · 6 announced
  2. + Immersive SimStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  3. + Life SimStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  4. + Visual NovelFair20 devs · median $22k · 19 announced
  5. + SandboxFair9 devs · median $17k · 12 announced
  6. + RomanceFair14 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  7. + ManagementFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  8. + ExplorationFair31 devs · median $6.7k · 42 announced
  9. + Action-AdventureFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  10. + Character CustomizationFair27 devs · median $5.7k · 34 announced
  11. + HorrorFair12 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  12. + NatureFair15 devs · median $2.1k · 6 announced

All 58 pairs on the Minigames page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
RUMBLE · EA older $24.99 3,158 87% 95k $2.4M (exactly $2,367,553) Buckethead Entertainment
Cauldron $14.99 1,678 92% 50k $755k (exactly $754,597) SleepyDad Games
My Little Pony: A Zephyr Heights Mystery older $39.99 126 73% 3.8k $151k (exactly $151,162) Drakhar Studios
A Tale for Anna older $10.99 99 88% 3.0k $33k (exactly $32,640) Far Mills
Magical Blush $14.99 58 94% 1.7k $26k (exactly $26,083) Alkacer Game Studio
Claire a la Mode $14.99 49 93% 1.5k $22k (exactly $22,035) Colorgrave
So May It Be: A Witch Dating Simulator older $11.99 29 93% 870 $10k (exactly $10,431) Planchette Games
Roxy Raccoon older $9.99 26 92% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) Sinomod Studios
The Elf on the Shelf®: Christmas Heroes $39.99 2 50% 60 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Casual Brothers Ltd.
Crossroad of Worlds: Mystery Agency Collector's Edition older $7.99 10 10% 300 $2.4k (exactly $2,397) Do Games Limited
Words Of Power $15.00 5 80% 150 $2.3k (exactly $2,250) Tsuperion
Halloween Trouble 6: Pumpkin Rampage CE $8.99 2 100% 60 $539 (exactly $539) Ironcode Gaming
Medetashi Medetashi $3.99 4 75% 120 $479 (exactly $479) たけの野々
Albert's Ark Idle $4.99 3 33% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Albert Tross Productions
Christmas Yarn 4: Blessing Star $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Ironcode Gaming
Gem Tales 2: Crystal Dragon $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Ironcode Gaming

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.