Do I ship it?

Games › Choices Matter › Choices Matter + Minigames

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choices Matter Minigames game?

Choices Matter + Minigames

Of 23 developers who shipped a Choices Matter Minigames game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×4.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $530; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×246 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 27 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 27 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choices Matter + Minigames
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.2k → $37k → $27k → $48k → $11k → $900 (still earning) → $2.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choices Matter + Minigames: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $525 (exactly $525)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,250)
Top 25% $48k (exactly $47,952)
Top 5% $117k (exactly $116,922)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 56
Announced 27
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choices Matter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Minigames
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Choices Matter, Minigames; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Simulation, Visual Novel
Price point
$10.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Story Rich, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 13,582 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $530, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $47k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $530. 6 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choices Matter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds108 devs · median $58k · 91 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair18 devs · median $4.7k · 15 announced
  3. + SportsFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced
  4. + RhythmFair36 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  5. + Hidden ObjectFair261 devs · median $802 · 273 announced
  6. + TriviaFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  7. + Board GameFair119 devs · median $479 · 150 announced
  8. + RacingFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  9. + ChessFair19 devs · median $419 · 20 announced
  10. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds9 devs · median $215k · 23 announced
  11. + RomePoor odds10 devs · median $160k · 19 announced
  12. + World War IPoor odds10 devs · median $57k · 19 announced

All 243 pairs on the Choices Matter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Star Wars Outlaws 2024 · $26M MILF's Plaza 2024 · $713k Stranded in Space 2023 · EA · $168k I Just Want to be Single!! Season One 2025 · EA · $117k Lust Sisters 🔞 2025 · $97k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Star Wars Outlaws $69.99 12,268 71% 368k $26M (exactly $25,759,120) Massive Entertainment – A Ubisoft Studio
MILF's Plaza older $14.99 1,585 73% 48k $713k (exactly $712,774) Texic
Stranded in Space · EA older $14.99 373 80% 11k $168k (exactly $167,738) Wildman
I Just Want to be Single!! Season One · EA $14.99 260 75% 7.8k $117k (exactly $116,922) m., Tsundere Studio
Lust Sisters 🔞 $14.99 215 67% 6.5k $97k (exactly $96,686) Carnality INC
Two Beasts Or Not To Beast! $24.99 125 99% 3.8k $94k (exactly $93,712) Tokinokogiri
To Trust an Incubus older $19.99 152 84% 4.6k $91k (exactly $91,154) Y Press Games
OnlyFuck - RuRu's Adventures older $9.99 233 59% 7.0k $70k (exactly $69,830) NSFW18 Games
Isekai Bistro $10.99 180 78% 5.4k $59k (exactly $59,346) DarkShadow Studio
Venge older $4.99 374 91% 11k $56k (exactly $55,988) Costek Games
Sex Industry XXX $9.99 160 62% 4.8k $48k (exactly $47,952) Lust Desires 🖤
SEXNATURAL: MILFs Must Be Filled 😈💦 $14.99 100 84% 3.0k $45k (exactly $44,970) Juicy Peach Games 🍑
Yokai: Lust Secret 🪭 $14.99 89 83% 2.7k $40k (exactly $40,023) Lewd Star
FRESHMAN: Project SEX 🔞 $14.99 80 73% 2.4k $36k (exactly $35,976) Lewd Star
Lust Night💋 $9.99 105 72% 3.2k $31k (exactly $31,468) Play and Cum 💦

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.