Do I ship it?

GamesMinigamesMinigames + LGBTQ+

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an LGBTQ+ Minigames game?

Minigames + LGBTQ+

Only 14 developers shipped an LGBTQ+ Minigames game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rift of the NecroDancer, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $53k, ×448 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $2.3k. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 6 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×0.9 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 448.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 6 announced, ×0.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Minigames + LGBTQ+
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.2k → $117k → $1.8k → $94k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Minigames + LGBTQ+: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $2.4k (exactly $2,398)
Median $53k (exactly $53,347)
Top 25% $117k (exactly $116,922)
Top 5% $3.5M (exactly $3,504,647)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 34
Announced 6
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Minigames
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
LGBTQ+
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Minigames; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Arcade, Visual Novel
Price point
$10.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Colorful, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 7,685 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.4k, median $53k, 1 in 4 over $110k, 1 in 20 over $3.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 5 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 6 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Minigames with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  2. + Life SimStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + Visual NovelFair20 devs · median $22k · 19 announced
  4. + SandboxFair9 devs · median $17k · 12 announced
  5. + RomanceFair14 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  6. + ManagementFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  7. + ExplorationFair31 devs · median $6.7k · 42 announced
  8. + Action-AdventureFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  9. + Character CustomizationFair27 devs · median $5.7k · 34 announced
  10. + HorrorFair12 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  11. + MagicFair8 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  12. + NatureFair15 devs · median $2.1k · 6 announced

All 58 pairs on the Minigames page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rift of the NecroDancer $19.99 5,844 93% 175k $3.5M (exactly $3,504,647) Brace Yourself Games, Tic Toc Studios I… (Brace Yourself Games, Tic Toc Studios Inc.)
Later Alligator older $17.99 2,749 96% 82k $1.5M (exactly $1,483,635) SmallBü, Pillow Fight
Bratz™: Flaunt your fashion older $29.99 445 77% 13k $400k (exactly $400,366) Petoons Studio
Youtubers Life 3 $19.99 468 50% 14k $281k (exactly $280,660) UPLAY Online
Stranded in Space · EA older $14.99 373 80% 11k $168k (exactly $167,738) Wildman
Starlight Revolver · EA $12.99 404 54% 12k $157k (exactly $157,439) Pahdo Labs
I Just Want to be Single!! Season One · EA $14.99 260 75% 7.8k $117k (exactly $116,922) m., Tsundere Studio
Two Beasts Or Not To Beast! $24.99 125 99% 3.8k $94k (exactly $93,712) Tokinokogiri
To Trust an Incubus older $19.99 152 84% 4.6k $91k (exactly $91,154) Y Press Games
Isekai Bistro $10.99 180 78% 5.4k $59k (exactly $59,346) DarkShadow Studio
1 Trait Escape $9.99 178 97% 5.3k $53k (exactly $53,347) Andrew Katz, Jeremy Collette
Sex Industry XXX $9.99 160 62% 4.8k $48k (exactly $47,952) Lust Desires 🖤
Magical Blush $14.99 58 94% 1.7k $26k (exactly $26,083) Alkacer Game Studio
Ana's Auto Fellatio $9.99 8 50% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Gloomy Washer

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.