Do I ship it?

GamesSurvivalSurvival + Minigames

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Minigames Survival game?

Survival + Minigames

Only 10 developers shipped a Minigames Survival game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Among Us 3D, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.9k, ×4.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $910k, ×1458 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 11 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 11 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival + Minigames
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Survival + Minigames: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $2.9k (exactly $2,876)
Top 25% $21k (exactly $21,094)
Top 5% $916k (exactly $915,883)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 32
Announced 11
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Minigames
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival, Minigames
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 84% positive over 8,460 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $2.9k, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $910k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 11 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds14 devs · median $74k · 10 announced
  2. + Social DeductionFair31 devs · median $6.2k · 35 announced
  3. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $2.1k · 29 announced
  4. + CatsFair33 devs · median $1.2k · 34 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair77 devs · median $1.0k · 84 announced
  6. + IdlerFair96 devs · median $836 · 99 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair79 devs · median $807 · 90 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair101 devs · median $599 · 130 announced
  9. + DogsFair20 devs · median $535 · 19 announced
  10. + Martial ArtsLong shot19 devs · median $419 · 17 announced
  11. + Boomer ShooterLong shot39 devs · median $359 · 32 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds16 devs · median $100k · 28 announced

All 234 pairs on the Survival page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Among Us older $4.99 659,003 92% 20M $99M (exactly $98,652,749) Innersloth
First Class Trouble older $14.99 3,103 79% 93k $1.4M (exactly $1,395,419) Invisible Walls
Among Us 3D $9.99 3,056 72% 92k $916k (exactly $915,883) Schell Games, Innersloth
Feign $4.99 5,270 91% 158k $789k (exactly $788,919) Teneke Kafalar
Among Us 3D: VR older $9.99 2,449 75% 73k $734k (exactly $733,965) Schell Games, Innersloth, Robot Teddy
Creature Crafter older $7.99 745 86% 22k $179k (exactly $178,576) Daniel Lochner
myPOPGOES older $4.99 752 86% 23k $113k (exactly $112,574) Kane Carter
Deducto 2 older $4.99 450 91% 14k $67k (exactly $67,365) Red Fox Studios
Venge older $4.99 374 91% 11k $56k (exactly $55,988) Costek Games
Among Waifus 18+ older $6.99 241 58% 7.2k $51k (exactly $50,538) Romantic Room
Villainy $7.99 88 94% 2.6k $21k (exactly $21,094) Studio Rend
Ritual Night · EA $4.99 27 85% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) Outfox Games
Casino Casualty $7.99 12 91% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) GlitchedLizard
GoodGod $9.99 4 75% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Malte Lehmann
Mini Games: 30 in 1 - Unpacking Hyper-Casual Fun Challenges $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Aleksa Racovic
Laur's Small Game $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) iTzMeLaur
Trivia Murder Party 3 · EA $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Jackbox Games, Inc.
Qwerty's Quickies $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Devious Slime Drops

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.