Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Minigames

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Minigames game?

Collectathon + Minigames

Only 12 developers shipped a Collectathon Minigames game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sledding Game, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×3.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $540. Revenue is up 65% on the market; 11 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 65% on the market, 11 announced, ×1.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Minigames
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Collectathon + Minigames: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $538 (exactly $538)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,439)
Top 25% $9.7k (exactly $9,653)
Top 5% $699k (exactly $698,726)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 31
Announced 11
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 65% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Minigames
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon, Minigames
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 3,150 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $9.6k, 1 in 20 over $690k.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 11 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sledding Game · EA $7.99 2,915 96% 87k $699k (exactly $698,726) The Sledding Corporation
Coin Pusher Casino older $12.50 950 84% 29k $356k (exactly $356,250) TreeNutsGames
Creature Crafter older $7.99 745 86% 22k $179k (exactly $178,576) Daniel Lochner
Kukoro: Stream chat games older $4.99 913 97% 27k $137k (exactly $136,676) HeyNau
Seclusa $12.99 148 97% 4.4k $58k (exactly $57,676) Studio Niente
Leafing Home $13.99 23 78% 690 $9.7k (exactly $9,653) Hot Fingers Interactive
Boo Party older $6.99 41 85% 1.2k $8.6k (exactly $8,598) CosmiKankei
Roxy Raccoon older $9.99 26 92% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) Sinomod Studios
Labyrinthatory older $14.99 12 100% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Unimposing Walrus
Kioku: Last Summer $14.99 10 40% 300 $4.5k (exactly $4,497) Lugn Games
GrowBud $6.99 11 90% 330 $2.3k (exactly $2,307) Make Games Play
Just Find It 4 $11.99 4 50% 120 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) Tiny Little Lion
Apanana $3.99 11 100% 330 $1.3k (exactly $1,317) Martin Tranberg
Sheep Sweep $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Elegant Horse Studios
Teckel Adventure $2.99 6 100% 180 $538 (exactly $538) SoulsQuest Games
Unstimulated Simulator $0.99 18 100% 540 $535 (exactly $535) Shotsy Enterprise

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.