Do I ship it?

GamesExplorationExploration + Minigames

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Exploration Minigames game?

Exploration + Minigames

Of 31 developers who shipped an Exploration Minigames game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.7k, ×14 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $840. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 42 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 14.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 35% on the market, 42 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Exploration + Minigames
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 31
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $1.7k → $9.5k → $525 → $9.7k → $8.6k → $1.3k (still earning) → $16k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Exploration + Minigames: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 31
Bottom 30% $838 (exactly $838)
Median $6.7k (exactly $6,712)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $16,796)
Top 5% $699k (exactly $698,726)
Developers, 2 yr 31
Released games 90
Announced 42
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 145% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Exploration
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Minigames
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Exploration, Minigames; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action-Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 15,730 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $840, median $6.7k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $690k.

3 in 10 developers made under $840. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Exploration with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair22 devs · median $8.1k · 26 announced
  2. + SpaceshipsFair22 devs · median $3.5k · 28 announced
  3. + Escape RoomFair122 devs · median $2.2k · 109 announced
  4. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 24 announced
  5. + WuxiaPoor odds12 devs · median $192k · 35 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds23 devs · median $82k · 61 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsPoor odds25 devs · median $69k · 90 announced
  8. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds146 devs · median $58k · 354 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds24 devs · median $52k · 213 announced
  10. + FMVPoor odds45 devs · median $27k · 76 announced
  11. + FarmingPoor odds41 devs · median $24k · 58 announced
  12. + Job SimulatorPoor odds31 devs · median $23k · 56 announced

All 258 pairs on the Exploration page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
It Takes Two older $39.99 218,492 95% 6.6M $262M (exactly $262,124,852) Hazelight Studios
Star Wars Outlaws $69.99 12,268 71% 368k $26M (exactly $25,759,120) Massive Entertainment – A Ubisoft Studio
Sledding Game · EA $7.99 2,915 96% 87k $699k (exactly $698,726) The Sledding Corporation
Bratz™: Flaunt your fashion older $29.99 445 77% 13k $400k (exactly $400,366) Petoons Studio
McPixel 3 older $9.99 1,199 96% 36k $359k (exactly $359,340) Sos Sosowski
Knuckle Sandwich older $19.99 517 86% 16k $310k (exactly $310,045) Andy Brophy
Creature Crafter older $7.99 745 86% 22k $179k (exactly $178,576) Daniel Lochner
My Little Pony: A Zephyr Heights Mystery older $39.99 126 73% 3.8k $151k (exactly $151,162) Drakhar Studios
Mayor May Knott $24.99 189 100% 5.7k $142k (exactly $141,693) Ravenous Images
SPOOKWARE older $4.99 709 79% 21k $106k (exactly $106,137) BEESWAX GAMES
Barbie Project Friendship™ $39.99 41 80% 1.2k $49k (exactly $49,188) Xaloc Studios, Casual Brothers Ltd.
Shujinkou $59.99 26 92% 780 $47k (exactly $46,792) Rice Games Inc
Magical Blush $14.99 58 94% 1.7k $26k (exactly $26,083) Alkacer Game Studio
Ritus Exorcismus $5.99 138 99% 4.1k $25k (exactly $24,799) Dernhelm Games
PAW Patrol™: Dino World $39.99 14 64% 420 $17k (exactly $16,796) 3DClouds
Garden Ink $9.50 55 100% 1.7k $16k (exactly $15,675) Kranich
Bittersweet Birthday $17.99 26 92% 780 $14k (exactly $14,032) World Eater Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.