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Should I ship a Minigames Dating Sim?
Dating Sim + Minigames
Only 10 developers shipped a Minigames Dating Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, I Just Want to be Single!! Season One, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $36k, ×302 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $4.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×983 the market median. Revenue is up 1000% on the market; 14 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $4.1k (exactly $4,133) |
|---|---|
| Median | $36k (exactly $35,976) |
| Top 25% | $94k (exactly $93,712) |
| Top 5% | $117k (exactly $116,922) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 38 |
| Announced | 14 |
| Effort | 2 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1000% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Dating Sim
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
- Minigames
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
- Systems
- Dating Sim, Minigames
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 81% positive over 1,213 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $4.2k. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Dating Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WarStrong odds
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Souls-likeStrong odds
- + AliensStrong odds
- + PlatformerStrong odds
- + HistoricalFair
- + FPSFair
- + Post-apocalypticFair
- + Quick-Time EventsFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Action-AdventureFair
- + TacticalFair
Comparable games
MILF's Plaza 2024 · $713k 
Zup! Zero 2017 · $154k 
I got a millenary cat 2022 · $144k 
Horny Warp: Hentai Fantasy 2023 · $137k 
I Just Want to be Single!! Season One 2025 · EA · $117k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | MILF's Plaza | older | $14.99 | 1,585 73% | 48k | $713k (exactly $712,774) | Texic |
| | Zup! Zero | older | $1.99 | 2,572 93% | 77k | $154k (exactly $153,548) | Quiet River |
| | I got a millenary cat | older | $6.99 | 685 85% | 21k | $144k (exactly $143,644) | CatBellUnion |
| | Horny Warp: Hentai Fantasy | older | $6.99 | 654 92% | 20k | $137k (exactly $137,144) | LuminatiGames |
| | I Just Want to be Single!! Season One | · EA | $14.99 | 260 75% | 7.8k | $117k (exactly $116,922) | m., Tsundere Studio |
 | Lust Sisters 🔞 | $14.99 | 215 67% | 6.5k | $97k (exactly $96,686) | Carnality INC | |
 | Two Beasts Or Not To Beast! | $24.99 | 125 99% | 3.8k | $94k (exactly $93,712) | Tokinokogiri | |
 | To Trust an Incubus | older | $19.99 | 152 84% | 4.6k | $91k (exactly $91,154) | Y Press Games |
 | Happy Endings | $6.99 | 429 86% | 13k | $90k (exactly $89,961) | Late Night Studios | |
 | Faulty Apprentice | older | $19.99 | 141 76% | 4.2k | $85k (exactly $84,558) | AGL studios |
 | FRESHMAN: Project SEX 🔞 | $14.99 | 80 73% | 2.4k | $36k (exactly $35,976) | Lewd Star | |
 | Fell in love with the Nobility girl As a member of the rebel organization | $6.99 | 28 78% | 840 | $5.9k (exactly $5,872) | selenophobia | |
 | My Secretary Bird | $5.99 | 23 65% | 690 | $4.1k (exactly $4,133) | artoonu | |
 | BunnyBarTalk | $2.50 | 38 94% | 1.1k | $2.9k (exactly $2,850) | maruhani | |
 | Learn To Love | · EA | $4.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | beepbopdubi |
 | My Dragon Idol | $4.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | artoonu |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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