Do I ship it?

GamesMinigamesMinigames + Fantasy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fantasy Minigames game?

Minigames + Fantasy

Of 23 developers who shipped a Fantasy Minigames game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $120. Revenue is up 425% on the market; 29 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 425% on the market, 29 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Minigames + Fantasy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $683 → $269 → $5.9k → $599 → $1.3k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Minigames + Fantasy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,317)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $11,389)
Top 5% $755k (exactly $754,597)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 98
Announced 29
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 425% on the market, supply 280% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Minigames
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Fantasy
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Minigames; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, JRPG
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 2,930 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $750k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Minigames with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Strong odds14 devs · median $53k · 6 announced
  2. + Immersive SimStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  3. + Life SimStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  4. + Visual NovelFair20 devs · median $22k · 19 announced
  5. + SandboxFair9 devs · median $17k · 12 announced
  6. + RomanceFair14 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  7. + ManagementFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  8. + ExplorationFair31 devs · median $6.7k · 42 announced
  9. + Action-AdventureFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  10. + Character CustomizationFair27 devs · median $5.7k · 34 announced
  11. + HorrorFair12 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  12. + MagicFair8 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced

All 58 pairs on the Minigames page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Swords & Souls: Neverseen older $14.99 6,077 93% 182k $2.7M (exactly $2,732,827) SoulGame Studio
RUMBLE · EA older $24.99 3,158 87% 95k $2.4M (exactly $2,367,553) Buckethead Entertainment
BRAVELY DEFAULT FLYING FAIRY HD Remaster $39.99 803 91% 24k $963k (exactly $963,359) Square Enix, Cattle Call Inc.
Cauldron $14.99 1,678 92% 50k $755k (exactly $754,597) SleepyDad Games
My Singing Monsters Playground older $39.99 263 82% 7.9k $316k (exactly $315,521) Big Blue Bubble
Knuckle Sandwich older $19.99 517 86% 16k $310k (exactly $310,045) Andy Brophy
Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- Sweep the Board! older $59.99 113 85% 3.4k $203k (exactly $203,366) CyberConnect2
The Little Acre older $12.99 518 86% 16k $202k (exactly $201,865) Pewter Games Studios
Creature Crafter older $7.99 745 86% 22k $179k (exactly $178,576) Daniel Lochner
Horny Warp: Hentai Fantasy older $6.99 654 92% 20k $137k (exactly $137,144) LuminatiGames
Isekai Bistro $10.99 180 78% 5.4k $59k (exactly $59,346) DarkShadow Studio
Magical Blush $14.99 58 94% 1.7k $26k (exactly $26,083) Alkacer Game Studio
Villainy $7.99 88 94% 2.6k $21k (exactly $21,094) Studio Rend
Neopets - Mega Mini Games Collection - The Neopian Arcade Odyssey $9.99 38 31% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) No Gravity Games
World Tree Ranch: Elven Legacy $16.99 21 57% 630 $11k (exactly $10,704) Closed Garden
Wolf with Inn $7.99 31 54% 930 $7.4k (exactly $7,431) Thundertale Studio
Fell in love with the Nobility girl As a member of the rebel organization $6.99 28 78% 840 $5.9k (exactly $5,872) selenophobia
Words Of Power $15.00 5 80% 150 $2.3k (exactly $2,250) Tsuperion

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.