Do I ship it?

GamesMinigamesMinigames + Puzzle

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Minigames Puzzle game?

Minigames + Puzzle

Of 47 developers who shipped a Minigames Puzzle game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×7.6 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $360. Revenue is flat on the market; 29 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.6 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 29 announced, ×1.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Minigames + Puzzle
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 47
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $1.5k → $719 → $18k → $1.4k → $479 → $535 (still earning) → $898 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Minigames + Puzzle: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 47
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $900 (exactly $900)
Top 25% $8.6k (exactly $8,573)
Top 5% $210k (exactly $210,389)
Developers, 2 yr 47
Released games 212
Announced 29
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Minigames
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Minigames, Puzzle; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Exploration
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 11,643 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $900, 1 in 4 over $8.5k, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Minigames with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Strong odds14 devs · median $53k · 6 announced
  2. + Immersive SimStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  3. + Life SimStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  4. + Visual NovelFair20 devs · median $22k · 19 announced
  5. + SandboxFair9 devs · median $17k · 12 announced
  6. + RomanceFair14 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  7. + ManagementFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  8. + ExplorationFair31 devs · median $6.7k · 42 announced
  9. + Action-AdventureFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  10. + Character CustomizationFair27 devs · median $5.7k · 34 announced
  11. + HorrorFair12 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  12. + MagicFair8 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced

All 58 pairs on the Minigames page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
It Takes Two older $39.99 218,492 95% 6.6M $262M (exactly $262,124,852) Hazelight Studios
Car Mechanic Simulator 2021 older $24.99 36,950 95% 1.1M $28M (exactly $27,701,415) Red Dot Games
UFO 50 $24.99 7,134 94% 214k $5.3M (exactly $5,348,360) Mossmouth
Gunsmith Simulator $24.99 3,165 84% 95k $2.4M (exactly $2,372,800) GameHunters
Later Alligator older $17.99 2,749 96% 82k $1.5M (exactly $1,483,635) SmallBü, Pillow Fight
The Tiny Bang Story older $4.99 3,809 88% 114k $570k (exactly $570,207) Colibri Games
McPixel older $4.99 2,545 87% 76k $381k (exactly $380,986) Sos Sosowski
McPixel 3 older $9.99 1,199 96% 36k $359k (exactly $359,340) Sos Sosowski
Filament older $16.99 623 86% 19k $318k (exactly $317,543) Beard Envy
Parallel Experiment $9.99 702 84% 21k $210k (exactly $210,389) Eleven Puzzles
Mayor May Knott $24.99 189 100% 5.7k $142k (exactly $141,693) Ravenous Images
Mythmatch $19.99 124 98% 3.7k $74k (exactly $74,363) Team Artichoke
Puppergeist $4.99 156 95% 4.7k $23k (exactly $23,353) Serenity Forge
DGGWare $8.99 66 93% 2.0k $18k (exactly $17,800) Silkworm
Garden Ink $9.50 55 100% 1.7k $16k (exactly $15,675) Kranich
Pinchcliffe Grand Prix Anniversary Edition $29.99 14 78% 420 $13k (exactly $12,596) Ravn Studio, Rock Pocket Games, Invictu… (Ravn Studio, Rock Pocket Games, Invictus Games)
Neopets - Mega Mini Games Collection - The Neopian Arcade Odyssey $9.99 38 31% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) No Gravity Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.