Do I ship it?

GamesMinigamesMinigames + Idler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Minigames Idler?

Minigames + Idler

Of 25 developers who shipped a Minigames Idler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×17 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $190k, ×1667 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 11 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 17.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 11 announced, ×0.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Minigames + Idler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $137k → $38k → $3.5k → $2.1k (still earning) → $7.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Minigames + Idler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $538 (exactly $538)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,063)
Top 25% $36k (exactly $36,195)
Top 5% $198k (exactly $198,318)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 35
Announced 11
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 215% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Minigames
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Idler
effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Minigames, Idler; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Immersive Sim, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 3D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 3,113 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $36k, 1 in 20 over $190k.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Minigames with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Strong odds14 devs · median $53k · 6 announced
  2. + Immersive SimStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  3. + Life SimStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  4. + Visual NovelFair20 devs · median $22k · 19 announced
  5. + SandboxFair9 devs · median $17k · 12 announced
  6. + RomanceFair14 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  7. + ManagementFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  8. + ExplorationFair31 devs · median $6.7k · 42 announced
  9. + Action-AdventureFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  10. + Character CustomizationFair27 devs · median $5.7k · 34 announced
  11. + HorrorFair12 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  12. + MagicFair8 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced

All 58 pairs on the Minigames page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Swords & Souls: Neverseen older $14.99 6,077 93% 182k $2.7M (exactly $2,732,827) SoulGame Studio
Cauldron $14.99 1,678 92% 50k $755k (exactly $754,597) SleepyDad Games
Coin Pusher Casino older $12.50 950 84% 29k $356k (exactly $356,250) TreeNutsGames
Vending Machine Co. $14.99 441 85% 13k $198k (exactly $198,318) Rogue Duck Interactive
I got a millenary cat older $6.99 685 85% 21k $144k (exactly $143,644) CatBellUnion
Kukoro: Stream chat games older $4.99 913 97% 27k $137k (exactly $136,676) HeyNau
Lust Sisters 🔞 $14.99 215 67% 6.5k $97k (exactly $96,686) Carnality INC
Seclusa $12.99 148 97% 4.4k $58k (exactly $57,676) Studio Niente
SEXNATURAL: MILFs Must Be Filled 😈💦 $14.99 100 84% 3.0k $45k (exactly $44,970) Juicy Peach Games 🍑
Electro Bop Boxing League $14.99 84 79% 2.5k $38k (exactly $37,775) Developer Dob
Lured In $7.99 151 84% 4.5k $36k (exactly $36,195) Big Boy Games
FRESHMAN: Project SEX 🔞 $14.99 80 73% 2.4k $36k (exactly $35,976) Lewd Star
Pibcremental $5.99 177 89% 5.3k $32k (exactly $31,807) Arcane Cabinet
Meeple Incremental $5.99 39 92% 1.2k $7.0k (exactly $7,008) Simply Artizan

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.