Do I ship it?

Games2D Platformer2D Platformer + Minigames

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Minigames 2D Platformer?

2D Platformer + Minigames

Of 20 developers who shipped a Minigames 2D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×5.1 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $5.3M, ×11260 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 14 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 14 announced, ×1.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Platformer + Minigames
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.7k → $3.3k → $359 (still earning) → $11k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 2D Platformer + Minigames: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,399)
Top 25% $8.6k (exactly $8,573)
Top 5% $5.3M (exactly $5,348,360)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 40
Announced 14
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Minigames
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
2D Platformer, Minigames; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Arcade
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 7,360 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $8.5k, 1 in 20 over $5.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  2. + VampiresFair47 devs · median $1.9k · 50 announced
  3. + MechsFair33 devs · median $1.8k · 44 announced
  4. + PinballFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 9 announced
  5. + WesternFair10 devs · median $1.3k · 13 announced
  6. + CRPGFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorFair178 devs · median $1.0k · 185 announced
  8. + Arena ShooterFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  9. + MiningFair38 devs · median $748 · 45 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair264 devs · median $599 · 320 announced
  11. + Party-Based RPGFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  12. + Tactical RPGFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced

All 226 pairs on the 2D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
UFO 50 $24.99 7,134 94% 214k $5.3M (exactly $5,348,360) Mossmouth
pureya older $5.99 2,242 96% 67k $403k (exactly $402,887) Majorariatto
McPixel 3 older $9.99 1,199 96% 36k $359k (exactly $359,340) Sos Sosowski
Eagle Island Twist older $9.99 104 75% 3.1k $31k (exactly $31,169) Pixelnicks
Magical Blush $14.99 58 94% 1.7k $26k (exactly $26,083) Alkacer Game Studio
Claire a la Mode $14.99 49 93% 1.5k $22k (exactly $22,035) Colorgrave
World Tree Ranch: Elven Legacy $16.99 21 57% 630 $11k (exactly $10,704) Closed Garden
Indiecalypse older $12.99 24 37% 720 $9.4k (exactly $9,353) JanduSoft
Concierge $12.99 22 100% 660 $8.6k (exactly $8,573) KODINO
Which Way Up: Galaxy Games $14.99 16 100% 480 $7.2k (exactly $7,195) Turtle Flip Studio
Sklime - A Difficult Climbing Adventure $7.99 28 96% 840 $6.7k (exactly $6,712) Zankai, Zanthous
good $7.99 19 100% 570 $4.6k (exactly $4,554) zzox
Esophaguys $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Esophaguys Team
The Elf on the Shelf®: Christmas Heroes $39.99 2 50% 60 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Casual Brothers Ltd.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.