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Should I ship a Mystery Minigames game?
Minigames + Mystery
Only 13 developers shipped a Mystery Minigames game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Feign, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $780k, ×1661 the market median. Revenue is up 2830% on the market; 19 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $179 (exactly $179) |
|---|---|
| Median | $900 (exactly $900) |
| Top 25% | $14k (exactly $14,032) |
| Top 5% | $789k (exactly $788,919) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 58 |
| Announced | 19 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2830% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Minigames; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Co-op, Exploration
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 6,240 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Minigames with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LGBTQ+Strong odds
- + Immersive SimStrong odds
- + Life SimStrong odds
- + Visual NovelFair
- + SandboxFair
- + RomanceFair
- + ManagementFair
- + ExplorationFair
- + Action-AdventureFair
- + Character CustomizationFair
- + HorrorFair
- + MagicFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Later Alligator | older | $17.99 | 2,749 96% | 82k | $1.5M (exactly $1,483,635) | SmallBü, Pillow Fight |
| | Feign | $4.99 | 5,270 91% | 158k | $789k (exactly $788,919) | Teneke Kafalar | |
| | Parallel Experiment | $9.99 | 702 84% | 21k | $210k (exactly $210,389) | Eleven Puzzles | |
| | Stranded in Space | · EA older | $14.99 | 373 80% | 11k | $168k (exactly $167,738) | Wildman |
| | Mayor May Knott | $24.99 | 189 100% | 5.7k | $142k (exactly $141,693) | Ravenous Images | |
| | The Office Quest | older | $5.99 | 751 93% | 23k | $135k (exactly $134,955) | 11Sheep |
| | SPOOKWARE | older | $4.99 | 709 79% | 21k | $106k (exactly $106,137) | BEESWAX GAMES |
| | יום פתוח (Open Day) | older | $5.99 | 256 98% | 7.7k | $46k (exactly $46,003) | Rafael Ben-Ari |
| | Night Cascades | older | $9.99 | 144 94% | 4.3k | $43k (exactly $43,157) | Hanako Games |
| | Paranormal Detective: Escape from the 90's | older | $11.99 | 53 79% | 1.6k | $19k (exactly $19,064) | LunaBeat |
| | Bittersweet Birthday | $17.99 | 26 92% | 780 | $14k (exactly $14,032) | World Eater Games | |
| | Concierge | $12.99 | 22 100% | 660 | $8.6k (exactly $8,573) | KODINO | |
| | Count Meowcula's Barbershop | $4.99 | 23 100% | 690 | $3.4k (exactly $3,443) | Gabiverse | |
| | A Tale Of Shadows: Fragments Part I | $29.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $900 (exactly $900) | Madwriter Games | |
| | Welcome to Primrose Lake 5 | $9.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $899 (exactly $899) | SQRT3 | |
| | Welcome to Primrose Lake 3 | $9.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | SQRT3 | |
| | Halloween Trouble 7: The Apprentice | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Ironcode Gaming |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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