Do I ship it?

GamesMinigamesMinigames + Female Protagonist

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Female-Led Minigames game?

Minigames + Female Protagonist

Of 27 developers who shipped a Female-Led Minigames game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $11k, ×24 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $3.5M, ×7378 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 17 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 23.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 17 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Minigames + Female Protagonist
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $26k → $1.7k → $151k → $539 → $117k → $11k → $74k (still earning) → $11k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Minigames + Female Protagonist: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $2.4k (exactly $2,398)
Median $11k (exactly $11,324)
Top 25% $117k (exactly $116,922)
Top 5% $3.5M (exactly $3,504,647)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 78
Announced 17
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $13.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Minigames
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Female Protagonist
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Minigames; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure
Price point
$13.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Cute, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $13.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 21,540 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.4k, median $11k, 1 in 4 over $110k, 1 in 20 over $3.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 6 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Minigames with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Strong odds14 devs · median $53k · 6 announced
  2. + Immersive SimStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  3. + Life SimStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  4. + Visual NovelFair20 devs · median $22k · 19 announced
  5. + SandboxFair9 devs · median $17k · 12 announced
  6. + RomanceFair14 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  7. + ManagementFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  8. + ExplorationFair31 devs · median $6.7k · 42 announced
  9. + Action-AdventureFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  10. + Character CustomizationFair27 devs · median $5.7k · 34 announced
  11. + HorrorFair12 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  12. + MagicFair8 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced

All 58 pairs on the Minigames page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
It Takes Two older $39.99 218,492 95% 6.6M $262M (exactly $262,124,852) Hazelight Studios
Star Wars Outlaws $69.99 12,268 71% 368k $26M (exactly $25,759,120) Massive Entertainment – A Ubisoft Studio
Rift of the NecroDancer $19.99 5,844 93% 175k $3.5M (exactly $3,504,647) Brace Yourself Games, Tic Toc Studios I… (Brace Yourself Games, Tic Toc Studios Inc.)
Cauldron $14.99 1,678 92% 50k $755k (exactly $754,597) SleepyDad Games
pureya older $5.99 2,242 96% 67k $403k (exactly $402,887) Majorariatto
Bratz™: Flaunt your fashion older $29.99 445 77% 13k $400k (exactly $400,366) Petoons Studio
Filament older $16.99 623 86% 19k $318k (exactly $317,543) Beard Envy
SPY×ANYA: Operation Memories older $49.99 206 83% 6.2k $309k (exactly $308,938) GrooveBoxJapan
Parallel Experiment $9.99 702 84% 21k $210k (exactly $210,389) Eleven Puzzles
The Little Acre older $12.99 518 86% 16k $202k (exactly $201,865) Pewter Games Studios
Starlight Revolver · EA $12.99 404 54% 12k $157k (exactly $157,439) Pahdo Labs
Mayor May Knott $24.99 189 100% 5.7k $142k (exactly $141,693) Ravenous Images
I Just Want to be Single!! Season One · EA $14.99 260 75% 7.8k $117k (exactly $116,922) m., Tsundere Studio
Mythmatch $19.99 124 98% 3.7k $74k (exactly $74,363) Team Artichoke
Barbie Project Friendship™ $39.99 41 80% 1.2k $49k (exactly $49,188) Xaloc Studios, Casual Brothers Ltd.
Bratz® Rhythm & Style $39.99 30 76% 900 $36k (exactly $35,991) Recotechnology S.L.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.