Do I ship it?

Games › Settings › Farming

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming game?

Farming

Of 144 developers who shipped a Farming game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 189 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.0k, ×13 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.8k; 1 in 20 cleared $2.2M, ×4825 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 189 games are announced against 77 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 12.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 189 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 144
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.6k → $150k → $5.4k → $6.5k → $17k → $3.6k → $4.7k (still earning) → $5.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 144
Bottom 30% $1.8k (exactly $1,797)
Median $6.0k (exactly $5,992)
Top 25% $53k (exactly $52,876)
Top 5% $2.3M (exactly $2,291,833)
Developers, 2 yr 144
Released games 311
Announced 189
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $22.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $22.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 147,926 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.8k, median $6.0k, 1 in 4 over $52k, 1 in 20 over $2.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.8k. 7 in 10 of the 70 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 189 games are announced against 77 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Farming

31 pairs with a mechanicwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Mining + Farming Strong odds $22k 18 devs
  2. Idler + Farming Strong odds $5.9k 33 devs
  3. Fishing + Farming Fair $18k 31 devs
  4. Incremental + Farming Fair $5.9k 21 devs
  5. Strategy + Farming Fair $4.3k 44 devs
  6. Economy + Farming Poor odds $35k 33 devs
  7. Life Sim + Farming Poor odds $26k 34 devs
  8. Character Customization + Farming Poor odds $26k 20 devs
  9. Sandbox + Farming Poor odds $25k 41 devs
  10. Open World + Farming Poor odds $25k 23 devs
  11. Exploration + Farming Poor odds $24k 41 devs
  12. RPG + Farming Poor odds $22k 30 devs
  13. Building + Farming Poor odds $20k 65 devs
  14. Immersive Sim + Farming Poor odds $20k 21 devs
  15. Cooking + Farming Poor odds $17k 17 devs
  16. Simulation + Farming Poor odds $14k 100 devs
  17. Collectathon + Farming Poor odds $13k 17 devs
  18. Crafting + Farming Poor odds $8.4k 58 devs
  19. Creature Collector + Farming Poor odds $7.7k 19 devs
  20. Farming Sim + Farming Poor odds $7.5k 93 devs
  21. Base Building + Farming Poor odds $7.2k 34 devs
  22. Survival + Farming Poor odds $7.2k 24 devs
  23. Automation + Farming Poor odds $6.5k 31 devs
  24. Resource Management + Farming Poor odds $6.0k 57 devs
  25. Agriculture + Farming Poor odds $5.9k 56 devs
  26. Adventure + Farming Poor odds $5.4k 37 devs
  27. Management + Farming Poor odds $4.7k 65 devs
  28. Inventory Management + Farming Poor odds $3.8k 13 devs
  29. Action + Farming Poor odds $2.5k 24 devs
  30. Time Management + Farming Poor odds $2.4k 17 devs
  31. Puzzle + Farming Dead $5.3k 8 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Farming Simulator 25 2024 · $36M Ranch Simulator: Build, Hunt, Farm 2023 · $31M Farthest Frontier 2025 · $26M Dinkum 2025 · $15M Fields of Mistria 2026 · $13M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Farming Simulator 25 $29.99 39,681 87% 1.2M $36M (exactly $35,700,996) GIANTS Software
Ranch Simulator: Build, Hunt, Farm older $24.99 40,862 79% 1.2M $31M (exactly $30,634,241) Toxic Dog
Farthest Frontier $34.99 24,444 86% 733k $26M (exactly $25,658,867) Crate Entertainment
Dinkum $19.99 24,641 92% 739k $15M (exactly $14,777,208) James Bendon
Fields of Mistria $13.99 31,918 96% 958k $13M (exactly $13,395,985) NPC Studio
STORY OF SEASONS: Friends of Mineral Town older $39.99 5,268 93% 158k $6.3M (exactly $6,320,020) Marvelous Inc.
Len's Island $24.99 5,935 82% 178k $4.4M (exactly $4,449,470) Flow Studio
HARVESTELLA older $59.99 2,071 77% 62k $3.7M (exactly $3,727,179) Square Enix
Rusty's Retirement older $6.99 13,902 96% 417k $2.9M (exactly $2,915,249) Mister Morris Games
Rise of Industry older $29.99 3,122 74% 94k $2.8M (exactly $2,808,863) Dapper Penguin Studios
The Farmer Was Replaced $9.99 9,116 95% 273k $2.7M (exactly $2,732,065) Timon Herzog
Solarpunk™ $22.99 3,492 81% 105k $2.4M (exactly $2,408,432) Cyberwave
Aloft · EA $24.99 3,057 82% 92k $2.3M (exactly $2,291,833) Astrolabe Interactive Inc.
Go-Go Town! $27.99 2,476 93% 74k $2.1M (exactly $2,079,097) Prideful Sloth
Doloc Town $19.99 3,166 94% 95k $1.9M (exactly $1,898,650) RedSaw Games Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.