Do I ship it?

GamesInventory ManagementInventory Management + Farming

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming Inventory Management game?

Inventory Management + Farming

Only 13 developers shipped a Farming Inventory Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Old Market Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.8k, ×7.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $960; 1 in 20 cleared $1.2M, ×2734 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 19 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 19 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Inventory Management + Farming
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $24k → $1.6k (still earning) → $35k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Inventory Management + Farming: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $959 (exactly $959)
Median $3.8k (exactly $3,767)
Top 25% $92k (exactly $92,308)
Top 5% $1.3M (exactly $1,298,600)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 28
Announced 19
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Inventory Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Farming
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Inventory Management
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 5,906 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $960, median $3.8k, 1 in 4 over $92k, 1 in 20 over $1.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $960. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Inventory Management with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds69 devs · median $15k · 62 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair10 devs · median $17k · 13 announced
  3. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair43 devs · median $12k · 47 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair34 devs · median $11k · 44 announced
  5. + WargameFair21 devs · median $4.6k · 20 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair181 devs · median $2.9k · 228 announced
  7. + DeckbuildingFair98 devs · median $2.5k · 137 announced
  8. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  9. + Card GameFair65 devs · median $1.6k · 86 announced
  10. + Trading Card GameFair21 devs · median $1.5k · 28 announced
  11. + Puzzle PlatformerFair20 devs · median $1.1k · 26 announced
  12. + God GameFair16 devs · median $1.1k · 15 announced

All 164 pairs on the Inventory Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Farm Manager 2018 older $19.99 2,524 70% 76k $1.5M (exactly $1,513,643) Cleversan Games
Farm Manager 2021 older $19.99 2,296 79% 69k $1.4M (exactly $1,376,911) Cleversan Games
Old Market Simulator $9.99 4,333 87% 130k $1.3M (exactly $1,298,600) Alcedo Games
Farming & Supermarket Simulator $11.99 835 79% 25k $300k (exactly $300,350) EY08 Games
Farm Expert 2017 older $19.99 462 38% 14k $277k (exactly $277,061) Silden
Crop Rotation older $9.99 508 94% 15k $152k (exactly $152,248) Sprouting Potato
Medieval Horse Dealer Simulator $17.99 193 89% 5.8k $104k (exactly $104,162) One Slice of Pizza Games
Rocky Idle $9.99 308 83% 9.2k $92k (exactly $92,308) Rocky Games Studio
Before The Green Moon older $11.99 138 94% 4.1k $50k (exactly $49,639) Turnfollow
The Headlands · EA $10.99 107 97% 3.2k $35k (exactly $35,278) TessaraOxygen
Touhou Farming ~ Minoriko's Homestead Harvest · EA $11.99 67 95% 2.0k $24k (exactly $24,100) Studio Hexeye
Bit-Cremental: Fishistry $2.99 42 90% 1.3k $3.8k (exactly $3,767) Inner Realm Studios
By My Side $9.99 10 70% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) OverLKD Studio
A Tiny Garden $5.99 9 100% 270 $1.6k (exactly $1,617) Tiny Racoon Studio
Fisherman's Palace · EA $15.99 2 0% 60 $959 (exactly $959) SuperuserGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.