Do I ship it?

GamesActionAction + Farming

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming Action game?

Action + Farming

Of 24 developers who shipped a Farming Action game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.5k, ×4.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $360k, ×576 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 35 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 35 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action + Farming
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $5.9k → $2.2k → $29k → $1.6k → $1.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action + Farming: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $898 (exactly $898)
Median $2.5k (exactly $2,545)
Top 25% $21k (exactly $21,136)
Top 5% $362k (exactly $362,008)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 49
Announced 35
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Farming
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Action; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Crafting, Sandbox
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 7,998 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $2.5k, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $360k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 7 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-Time with PauseFair16 devs · median $103k · 18 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair25 devs · median $14k · 30 announced
  3. + PinballFair42 devs · median $2.6k · 48 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair43 devs · median $1.8k · 40 announced
  5. + Football (American)Fair16 devs · median $1.3k · 6 announced
  6. + BaseballFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 12 announced
  7. + BilliardsFair19 devs · median $958 · 25 announced
  8. + IdlerFair225 devs · median $898 · 292 announced
  9. + TennisFair23 devs · median $628 · 12 announced
  10. + Time AttackFair90 devs · median $599 · 110 announced
  11. + TabletopFair71 devs · median $505 · 86 announced
  12. + WuxiaPoor odds9 devs · median $189k · 36 announced

All 288 pairs on the Action page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Len's Island $24.99 5,935 82% 178k $4.4M (exactly $4,449,470) Flow Studio
HARVESTELLA older $59.99 2,071 77% 62k $3.7M (exactly $3,727,179) Square Enix
Re:Legend older $24.99 1,514 56% 45k $1.1M (exactly $1,135,046) Magnus Games Studio
It Lurks Below older $19.99 1,168 81% 35k $700k (exactly $700,450) Graybeard Games
Zombie Graveyard Simulator $14.99 805 89% 24k $362k (exactly $362,008) threeW
Farming & Supermarket Simulator $11.99 835 79% 25k $300k (exactly $300,350) EY08 Games
Pirates VR: Jolly Roger $19.99 212 76% 6.4k $127k (exactly $127,136) Split Light Studio
Gleaner Heights older $9.99 358 72% 11k $107k (exactly $107,293) Emilios Manolidis
DEADCRAFT older $14.99 126 68% 3.8k $57k (exactly $56,662) Marvelous Inc.
Professional Farmer 2014 older $7.99 188 45% 5.6k $45k (exactly $45,064) PlayWay S.A.
Russian Village Simulator 2 $15.99 61 70% 1.8k $29k (exactly $29,262) VD Games, PropilGames
Pet Lands $14.99 47 46% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Tbjbu2, Adria Martinez Exposito
Farm Your Friends $9.99 38 100% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) Meganeura Games
Desolated District $14.99 16 68% 480 $7.2k (exactly $7,195) Real Heroes Studio, S.C. 16 BIT NIGHTS… (Real Heroes Studio, S.C. 16 BIT NIGHTS S.R.L.)
Deep Line $3.99 39 79% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) DrugTank
Citadel Anew $11.99 10 50% 300 $3.6k (exactly $3,597) Radical Byte

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.