Should I ship a Farming RPG?
RPG + Farming
Of 30 developers who shipped a Farming RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 50 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $22k, ×35 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $4.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $13M, ×21331 the market median. Revenue is up 130% on the market; 50 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $4.1k (exactly $4,133) |
|---|---|
| Median | $22k (exactly $22,292) |
| Top 25% | $53k (exactly $52,876) |
| Top 5% | $13M (exactly $13,395,985) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 30 |
| Released games | 86 |
| Announced | 50 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 130% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- RPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Crafting, Building
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 2D, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 93% positive over 63,433 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $4.2k. 8 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 50 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + IdlerFair
- + Boss RushFair
- + SportsFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + SamuraiPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + MinigamesPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
Comparable games
Dinkum 2025 · $15M 
Fields of Mistria 2026 · $13M 
STORY OF SEASONS: Friends of Mineral Town 2020 · $6.3M 
HARVESTELLA 2022 · $3.7M 
DORAEMON STORY OF SEASONS 2019 · $2.8M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dinkum | $19.99 | 24,641 92% | 739k | $15M (exactly $14,777,208) | James Bendon | |
| | Fields of Mistria | $13.99 | 31,918 96% | 958k | $13M (exactly $13,395,985) | NPC Studio | |
| | STORY OF SEASONS: Friends of Mineral Town | older | $39.99 | 5,268 93% | 158k | $6.3M (exactly $6,320,020) | Marvelous Inc. |
| | HARVESTELLA | older | $59.99 | 2,071 77% | 62k | $3.7M (exactly $3,727,179) | Square Enix |
| | DORAEMON STORY OF SEASONS | older | $49.99 | 1,845 81% | 55k | $2.8M (exactly $2,766,946) | Marvelous Inc., Brownies Inc. |
 | Kynseed | older | $24.99 | 3,513 83% | 105k | $2.6M (exactly $2,633,696) | PixelCount Studios |
 | Rune Factory 5 | older | $39.99 | 1,940 76% | 58k | $2.3M (exactly $2,327,418) | Marvelous Inc. |
 | Doloc Town | $19.99 | 3,166 94% | 95k | $1.9M (exactly $1,898,650) | RedSaw Games Studio | |
 | Rune Factory 4 Special | older | $29.99 | 2,070 88% | 62k | $1.9M (exactly $1,862,379) | Marvelous Inc. |
 | Mirthwood | $24.99 | 2,242 69% | 67k | $1.7M (exactly $1,680,827) | Bad Ridge Games | |
 | Creator Chronicles | $11.99 | 424 64% | 13k | $153k (exactly $152,513) | Origin Studio | |
 | Rocky Idle | $9.99 | 308 83% | 9.2k | $92k (exactly $92,308) | Rocky Games Studio | |
 | Skeleseller | $6.99 | 409 91% | 12k | $86k (exactly $85,767) | Xtonomous | |
 | Pawsome Resort | · EA | $11.99 | 147 83% | 4.4k | $53k (exactly $52,876) | Pixel Puffs |
 | Hillshade Farm | · EA | $19.50 | 66 62% | 2.0k | $39k (exactly $38,610) | NORTHSTAR Games |
 | Firefly Village | $8.99 | 112 86% | 3.4k | $30k (exactly $30,206) | Josh Koenig Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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