Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + Farming

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Farming

Of 21 developers who shipped a Farming Immersive Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $20k, ×13 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $4.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $25M, ×17129 the market median. Revenue is up 215% on the market; 27 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 13.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 215% on the market, 27 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Farming
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $297 → $1.7M → $5.4k → $38k → $8.4k (still earning) → $35k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Farming: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $4.7k (exactly $4,676)
Median $20k (exactly $20,143)
Top 25% $104k (exactly $104,162)
Top 5% $26M (exactly $25,658,867)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 43
Announced 27
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 215% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Farming
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Economy, Management, Simulation
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 72,136 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $4.7k, median $20k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $25M.

3 in 10 developers made under $4.7k. 6 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Farming Simulator 25 $29.99 39,681 87% 1.2M $36M (exactly $35,700,996) GIANTS Software
Ranch Simulator: Build, Hunt, Farm older $24.99 40,862 79% 1.2M $31M (exactly $30,634,241) Toxic Dog
Farthest Frontier $34.99 24,444 86% 733k $26M (exactly $25,658,867) Crate Entertainment
Mirthwood $24.99 2,242 69% 67k $1.7M (exactly $1,680,827) Bad Ridge Games
Farmer's Life older $19.99 2,373 89% 71k $1.4M (exactly $1,423,088) FreeMind S.A.
Old Market Simulator $9.99 4,333 87% 130k $1.3M (exactly $1,298,600) Alcedo Games
DORAEMON STORY OF SEASONS: Friends of the Great Kingdom older $49.99 324 90% 9.7k $486k (exactly $485,903) Marvelous Inc.
Farming & Supermarket Simulator $11.99 835 79% 25k $300k (exactly $300,350) EY08 Games
Garden of the Sea (VR) older $9.99 619 93% 19k $186k (exactly $185,514) Neat Corporation
Medieval Horse Dealer Simulator $17.99 193 89% 5.8k $104k (exactly $104,162) One Slice of Pizza Games
Ancient Farm $14.99 155 55% 4.7k $70k (exactly $69,704) A2 Softworks
Hillshade Farm · EA $19.50 66 62% 2.0k $39k (exactly $38,610) NORTHSTAR Games
Elsewhere · EA $15.99 80 96% 2.4k $38k (exactly $38,376) Four White Cats
The Headlands · EA $10.99 107 97% 3.2k $35k (exactly $35,278) TessaraOxygen

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.