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Should I ship a Farming Immersive Sim?
Immersive Sim + Farming
Of 21 developers who shipped a Farming Immersive Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $20k, ×13 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $4.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $25M, ×17129 the market median. Revenue is up 215% on the market; 27 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $4.7k (exactly $4,676) |
|---|---|
| Median | $20k (exactly $20,143) |
| Top 25% | $104k (exactly $104,162) |
| Top 5% | $26M (exactly $25,658,867) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 21 |
| Released games | 43 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 215% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Immersive Sim
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- Farming
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Immersive Sim; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Economy, Management, Simulation
- Price point
- $11.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Realistic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 72,136 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $4.7k. 6 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Immersive Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Trading Card GameStrong odds
- + MinigamesStrong odds
- + WesternStrong odds
- + BoxingStrong odds
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + RomanceFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Split ScreenFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Farming Simulator 25 | $29.99 | 39,681 87% | 1.2M | $36M (exactly $35,700,996) | GIANTS Software | |
| | Ranch Simulator: Build, Hunt, Farm | older | $24.99 | 40,862 79% | 1.2M | $31M (exactly $30,634,241) | Toxic Dog |
| | Farthest Frontier | $34.99 | 24,444 86% | 733k | $26M (exactly $25,658,867) | Crate Entertainment | |
| | Mirthwood | $24.99 | 2,242 69% | 67k | $1.7M (exactly $1,680,827) | Bad Ridge Games | |
| | Farmer's Life | older | $19.99 | 2,373 89% | 71k | $1.4M (exactly $1,423,088) | FreeMind S.A. |
| | Old Market Simulator | $9.99 | 4,333 87% | 130k | $1.3M (exactly $1,298,600) | Alcedo Games | |
| | DORAEMON STORY OF SEASONS: Friends of the Great Kingdom | older | $49.99 | 324 90% | 9.7k | $486k (exactly $485,903) | Marvelous Inc. |
| | Farming & Supermarket Simulator | $11.99 | 835 79% | 25k | $300k (exactly $300,350) | EY08 Games | |
| | Garden of the Sea (VR) | older | $9.99 | 619 93% | 19k | $186k (exactly $185,514) | Neat Corporation |
| | Medieval Horse Dealer Simulator | $17.99 | 193 89% | 5.8k | $104k (exactly $104,162) | One Slice of Pizza Games | |
| | Ancient Farm | $14.99 | 155 55% | 4.7k | $70k (exactly $69,704) | A2 Softworks | |
| | Hillshade Farm | · EA | $19.50 | 66 62% | 2.0k | $39k (exactly $38,610) | NORTHSTAR Games |
| | Elsewhere | · EA | $15.99 | 80 96% | 2.4k | $38k (exactly $38,376) | Four White Cats |
| | The Headlands | · EA | $10.99 | 107 97% | 3.2k | $35k (exactly $35,278) | TessaraOxygen |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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