Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Farming

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming Collectathon game?

Collectathon + Farming

Only 17 developers shipped a Farming Collectathon game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Farming & Supermarket Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $13k, ×28 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $300k, ×632 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 13 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 27.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 13 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Farming
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $58k → $15k → $21k → $58k → $1.5k (still earning) → $2.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Farming: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Median $13k (exactly $13,187)
Top 25% $24k (exactly $23,676)
Top 5% $300k (exactly $300,350)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 31
Announced 13
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Farming
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Farming Sim, Building
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 2D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 2,063 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.1k, median $13k, 1 in 4 over $23k, 1 in 20 over $300k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.1k. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Farming & Supermarket Simulator $11.99 835 79% 25k $300k (exactly $300,350) EY08 Games
Plantera 2: Golden Acorn older $4.99 1,191 93% 36k $178k (exactly $178,293) VaragtP
Kamaeru: A Frog Refuge older $19.99 230 86% 6.9k $138k (exactly $137,931) Humble Reeds
Agrivore: Incremental Farming $6.99 494 70% 15k $104k (exactly $103,592) verty
Collector's Cove $19.99 136 86% 4.1k $82k (exactly $81,559) VoodooDuck
Farm Keeper older $4.99 390 91% 12k $58k (exactly $58,383) Cuddle Code
Game of Grass $6.99 275 84% 8.3k $58k (exactly $57,668) Hipsterdufus
Fujii - A Magical Gardening Adventure older $9.99 99 91% 3.0k $30k (exactly $29,670) Funktronic Labs
Chronomon · EA $9.99 79 83% 2.4k $24k (exactly $23,676) Stone Golem Studios
Pet Lands $14.99 47 46% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Tbjbu2, Adria Martinez Exposito
Skystead Ranch $24.99 28 71% 840 $21k (exactly $20,992) ToastieLabs
Farming Incremental But With Guns $3.99 113 88% 3.4k $14k (exactly $13,526) Clementine Wolf Games
My Money Grows On Trees $9.99 44 54% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Tbjbu2
Starseed · EA $11.99 12 83% 360 $4.3k (exactly $4,316) heartsynth

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.