Do I ship it?

GamesMiningMining + Farming

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming Mining game?

Mining + Farming

Only 18 developers shipped a Farming Mining game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Fields of Mistria, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $22k, ×47 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $2.3k. Revenue is up 120% on the market; 15 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×1.4 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 46.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 120% on the market, 15 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mining + Farming
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.3k → $22k → $8.4k (still earning) → $104k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Mining + Farming: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $2.4k (exactly $2,395)
Median $22k (exactly $22,292)
Top 25% $92k (exactly $92,308)
Top 5% $13M (exactly $13,395,985)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 28
Announced 15
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 120% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mining
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Farming
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Mining; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Building, Simulation, Crafting
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $34.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 33,387 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.4k, median $22k, 1 in 4 over $92k, 1 in 20 over $13M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Mining with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TradingFair32 devs · median $12k · 33 announced
  2. + DwarvesFair17 devs · median $9.6k · 26 announced
  3. + Tower DefenseFair33 devs · median $6.3k · 45 announced
  4. + EconomyFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  5. + AutomationFair105 devs · median $4.9k · 164 announced
  6. + Turn-Based StrategyFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  7. + IncrementalFair141 devs · median $3.9k · 207 announced
  8. + NatureFair42 devs · median $2.4k · 49 announced
  9. + IdlerFair136 devs · median $2.3k · 185 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair91 devs · median $2.2k · 125 announced
  11. + CollectathonFair63 devs · median $2.1k · 53 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair36 devs · median $1.9k · 39 announced

All 91 pairs on the Mining page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fields of Mistria $13.99 31,918 96% 958k $13M (exactly $13,395,985) NPC Studio
Everafter Falls older $19.99 437 86% 13k $262k (exactly $262,069) SquareHusky
Rise of Industry 2 $34.99 154 55% 4.6k $162k (exactly $161,654) SomaSim
Creator Chronicles $11.99 424 64% 13k $153k (exactly $152,513) Origin Studio
GeoDepths older $16.99 294 87% 8.8k $150k (exactly $149,852) A Little More Games
Medieval Horse Dealer Simulator $17.99 193 89% 5.8k $104k (exactly $104,162) One Slice of Pizza Games
Rocky Idle $9.99 308 83% 9.2k $92k (exactly $92,308) Rocky Games Studio
Elsewhere · EA $15.99 80 96% 2.4k $38k (exactly $38,376) Four White Cats
Firefly Village $8.99 112 86% 3.4k $30k (exactly $30,206) Josh Koenig Games
Cropia $14.99 58 87% 1.7k $26k (exactly $26,083) Cropstone Studio
Robert on Earth $7.99 93 83% 2.8k $22k (exactly $22,292) Remrofsnart
Pet Lands $14.99 47 46% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Tbjbu2, Adria Martinez Exposito

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.