Do I ship it?

GamesCookingCooking + Farming

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming Cooking game?

Cooking + Farming

Only 17 developers shipped a Farming Cooking game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Fields of Mistria, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $17k, ×35 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.3k; 1 in 20 cleared $13M, ×28202 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 23 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 34.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 23 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Cooking + Farming
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $138k → $12k → $18k → $153k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Cooking + Farming: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $3.3k (exactly $3,297)
Median $17k (exactly $16,566)
Top 25% $28k (exactly $27,881)
Top 5% $13M (exactly $13,395,985)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 43
Announced 23
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Cooking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Farming
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Cooking; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Building, Crafting
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Cute, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 36,014 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.3k, median $17k, 1 in 4 over $27k, 1 in 20 over $13M.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.3k. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Cooking with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair54 devs · median $14k · 68 announced
  2. + DogsFair12 devs · median $8.1k · 12 announced
  3. + Turn-Based CombatFair15 devs · median $6.0k · 22 announced
  4. + Point & ClickFair68 devs · median $1.8k · 79 announced
  5. + LogicFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced
  6. + Score AttackFair28 devs · median $1.4k · 30 announced
  7. + Hidden ObjectFair25 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  8. + PuzzleFair77 devs · median $958 · 92 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligencePoor odds15 devs · median $73k · 10 announced
  10. + JRPGPoor odds13 devs · median $34k · 25 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds16 devs · median $30k · 32 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds12 devs · median $26k · 23 announced

All 95 pairs on the Cooking page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fields of Mistria $13.99 31,918 96% 958k $13M (exactly $13,395,985) NPC Studio
Doloc Town $19.99 3,166 94% 95k $1.9M (exactly $1,898,650) RedSaw Games Studio
Ooblets older $29.99 1,388 91% 42k $1.2M (exactly $1,248,784) Glumberland
Among Trees older $14.99 2,071 68% 62k $931k (exactly $931,329) FJRD Interactive
Big Farm Story older $19.99 1,172 78% 35k $703k (exactly $702,848) Goodgame Studios
Stranded Sails - Explorers of the Cursed Islands older $24.99 785 72% 24k $589k (exactly $588,514) Alchemist Interactive
SunnySide older $19.99 913 67% 27k $548k (exactly $547,526) Aftabi Games
Creator Chronicles $11.99 424 64% 13k $153k (exactly $152,513) Origin Studio
Farm for your Life older $9.99 499 81% 15k $150k (exactly $149,550) Hammer Labs
Kamaeru: A Frog Refuge older $19.99 230 86% 6.9k $138k (exactly $137,931) Humble Reeds
Chill Town $9.99 200 68% 6.0k $60k (exactly $59,940) Low-Hi Tech
Galactic Getaway: Build a Home for Pets · EA $14.99 62 61% 1.9k $28k (exactly $27,881) Akrew
Node Farm $11.99 75 81% 2.3k $27k (exactly $26,978) ByerN
Skystead Ranch $24.99 28 71% 840 $21k (exactly $20,992) ToastieLabs
Tales from The Dancing Moon $17.99 34 88% 1.0k $18k (exactly $18,350) DjMonkey
Dreaming Isles $6.99 79 51% 2.4k $17k (exactly $16,566) YawningDad
Bitter Harvest $9.99 28 71% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) BitQuest Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.