Do I ship it?

GamesIncrementalIncremental + Farming

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming Incremental game?

Incremental + Farming

Of 21 developers who shipped a Farming Incremental game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.9k, ×12 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $2.1k. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 23 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 12.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 23 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Incremental + Farming
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $624 → $92k (still earning) → $14k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Incremental + Farming: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Median $5.9k (exactly $5,920)
Top 25% $24k (exactly $23,802)
Top 5% $104k (exactly $103,592)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 32
Announced 23
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.49

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 150% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Incremental
effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables
Farming
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Incremental; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Idler, Simulation, Strategy
Price point
$5.49 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Cartoony
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.49.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 2,161 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.1k, median $5.9k, 1 in 4 over $23k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.1k. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Incremental with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds15 devs · median $11k · 12 announced
  2. + OtomeStrong odds12 devs · median $7.0k · 11 announced
  3. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $6.1k · 15 announced
  4. + Dynamic NarrationFair19 devs · median $4.0k · 14 announced
  5. + MiningFair141 devs · median $3.9k · 207 announced
  6. + Souls-likeFair9 devs · median $3.9k · 10 announced
  7. + Arena ShooterFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair140 devs · median $3.1k · 136 announced
  9. + UndergroundFair27 devs · median $3.0k · 35 announced
  10. + LootFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  11. + SupernaturalFair33 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  12. + EconomyFair408 devs · median $2.2k · 612 announced

All 188 pairs on the Incremental page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Plantera 2: Golden Acorn older $4.99 1,191 93% 36k $178k (exactly $178,293) VaragtP
MR FARMBOY $9.99 480 85% 14k $144k (exactly $143,856) mrdboy
Agrivore: Incremental Farming $6.99 494 70% 15k $104k (exactly $103,592) verty
Rocky Idle $9.99 308 83% 9.2k $92k (exactly $92,308) Rocky Games Studio
Game of Grass $6.99 275 84% 8.3k $58k (exactly $57,668) Hipsterdufus
Slice the Crops! $5.49 163 80% 4.9k $27k (exactly $26,846) Wobblers Games
Chest Buster $4.99 159 92% 4.8k $24k (exactly $23,802) D-Pad
Pet Lands $14.99 47 46% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Tbjbu2, Adria Martinez Exposito
Pachinko Farm · EA $6.99 78 76% 2.3k $16k (exactly $16,357) Witchcraft Entertainment
Idle Fields older $4.99 101 77% 3.0k $15k (exactly $15,120) KotieDev
Farming Incremental But With Guns $3.99 113 88% 3.4k $14k (exactly $13,526) Clementine Wolf Games
My Money Grows On Trees $9.99 44 54% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Tbjbu2

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.