Do I ship it?

GamesFishingFishing + Farming

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming Fishing game?

Fishing + Farming

Of 31 developers who shipped a Farming Fishing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $18k, ×39 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $2.2k. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 26 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 38.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 26 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Fishing + Farming
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 31
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $3.8k → $21k → $22k → $8.4k (still earning) → $153k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Fishing + Farming: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 31
Bottom 30% $2.2k (exactly $2,156)
Median $18k (exactly $18,350)
Top 25% $82k (exactly $81,559)
Top 5% $2.1M (exactly $2,079,097)
Developers, 2 yr 31
Released games 55
Announced 26
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Fishing
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Farming
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Fishing; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Building, Simulation, Crafting
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Cozy, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 34,815 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.2k, median $18k, 1 in 4 over $81k, 1 in 20 over $2.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.2k. 7 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Fishing with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationFair40 devs · median $3.4k · 46 announced
  2. + IncrementalFair64 devs · median $1.8k · 87 announced
  3. + Score AttackFair11 devs · median $719 · 8 announced
  4. + ArcadeFair51 devs · median $716 · 64 announced
  5. + Co-opPoor odds39 devs · median $70k · 73 announced
  6. + RomancePoor odds14 devs · median $47k · 29 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds34 devs · median $36k · 85 announced
  8. + EconomyPoor odds49 devs · median $23k · 66 announced
  9. + CapitalismPoor odds15 devs · median $23k · 18 announced
  10. + AgriculturePoor odds48 devs · median $18k · 80 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $15k · 30 announced
  12. + Farming SimPoor odds84 devs · median $15k · 170 announced

All 77 pairs on the Fishing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dinkum $19.99 24,641 92% 739k $15M (exactly $14,777,208) James Bendon
Rune Factory 5 older $39.99 1,940 76% 58k $2.3M (exactly $2,327,418) Marvelous Inc.
Go-Go Town! $27.99 2,476 93% 74k $2.1M (exactly $2,079,097) Prideful Sloth
Doloc Town $19.99 3,166 94% 95k $1.9M (exactly $1,898,650) RedSaw Games Studio
Rune Factory 4 Special older $29.99 2,070 88% 62k $1.9M (exactly $1,862,379) Marvelous Inc.
Mirthwood $24.99 2,242 69% 67k $1.7M (exactly $1,680,827) Bad Ridge Games
Hokko Life older $19.99 1,853 68% 56k $1.1M (exactly $1,111,244) Wonderscope Games
Russian Village Simulator older $29.99 889 84% 27k $800k (exactly $799,833) VD Games, PropilGames
DORAEMON STORY OF SEASONS: Friends of the Great Kingdom older $49.99 324 90% 9.7k $486k (exactly $485,903) Marvelous Inc.
Everafter Falls older $19.99 437 86% 13k $262k (exactly $262,069) SquareHusky
Tiny Terraces · EA $6.99 938 92% 28k $197k (exactly $196,699) VuVuu
Creator Chronicles $11.99 424 64% 13k $153k (exactly $152,513) Origin Studio
MR FARMBOY $9.99 480 85% 14k $144k (exactly $143,856) mrdboy
Collector's Cove $19.99 136 86% 4.1k $82k (exactly $81,559) VoodooDuck
Chill Town $9.99 200 68% 6.0k $60k (exactly $59,940) Low-Hi Tech
Firefly Village $8.99 112 86% 3.4k $30k (exactly $30,206) Josh Koenig Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.