Do I ship it?

GamesCreature CollectorCreature Collector + Farming

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming Creature Collector?

Creature Collector + Farming

Only 19 developers shipped a Farming Creature Collector in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Collector's Cove, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $7.7k, ×12 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.6k; 1 in 20 cleared $81k, ×130 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 25 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 12.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 25 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Creature Collector + Farming
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.5k → $24k → $7.7k → $3.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Creature Collector + Farming: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $2.5k (exactly $2,545)
Median $7.7k (exactly $7,670)
Top 25% $24k (exactly $23,676)
Top 5% $82k (exactly $81,559)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 33
Announced 25
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Farming
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Creature Collector; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Farming Sim, Simulation, Building
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Cozy, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 775 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.6k, median $7.7k, 1 in 4 over $23k, 1 in 20 over $81k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.6k. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Creature Collector with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Perma DeathFair30 devs · median $5.3k · 33 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  3. + CapitalismFair38 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  4. + LootFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  5. + IdlerFair248 devs · median $2.1k · 260 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair177 devs · median $1.9k · 191 announced
  7. + Action RoguelikeFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  8. + SpaceFair30 devs · median $1.5k · 39 announced
  9. + ZombiesFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair73 devs · median $629 · 85 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $28k · 82 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds14 devs · median $23k · 43 announced

All 133 pairs on the Creature Collector page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rune Factory 5 older $39.99 1,940 76% 58k $2.3M (exactly $2,327,418) Marvelous Inc.
Rune Factory 4 Special older $29.99 2,070 88% 62k $1.9M (exactly $1,862,379) Marvelous Inc.
Ooblets older $29.99 1,388 91% 42k $1.2M (exactly $1,248,784) Glumberland
Re:Legend older $24.99 1,514 56% 45k $1.1M (exactly $1,135,046) Magnus Games Studio
Cat God Ranch older $9.99 1,831 92% 55k $549k (exactly $548,751) CrazyPotato Studio
Garden of the Sea (VR) older $9.99 619 93% 19k $186k (exactly $185,514) Neat Corporation
Kamaeru: A Frog Refuge older $19.99 230 86% 6.9k $138k (exactly $137,931) Humble Reeds
Collector's Cove $19.99 136 86% 4.1k $82k (exactly $81,559) VoodooDuck
Pawsome Resort · EA $11.99 147 83% 4.4k $53k (exactly $52,876) Pixel Puffs
Focus Grove $8.99 172 98% 5.2k $46k (exactly $46,388) Little Lantern
Galactic Getaway: Build a Home for Pets · EA $14.99 62 61% 1.9k $28k (exactly $27,881) Akrew
Chronomon · EA $9.99 79 83% 2.4k $24k (exactly $23,676) Stone Golem Studios
Pet Lands $14.99 47 46% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Tbjbu2, Adria Martinez Exposito
Skystead Ranch $24.99 28 71% 840 $21k (exactly $20,992) ToastieLabs
My Money Grows On Trees $9.99 44 54% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Tbjbu2
CritterGarden $9.99 28 82% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) Minjonia Studios
Cosmic Coop $7.99 32 78% 960 $7.7k (exactly $7,670) Omnivorian

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.