Do I ship it?

Games › Agriculture › Agriculture + Farming

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming Agriculture game?

Agriculture + Farming

Of 56 developers who shipped a Farming Agriculture game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 56 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.9k, ×9.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $13M, ×21331 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 56 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 56 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Agriculture + Farming
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 56
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $58k → $13k → $5.9k → $777k → $28k → $2.4k → $3.3k (still earning) → $5.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Agriculture + Farming: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 56
Bottom 30% $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Median $5.9k (exactly $5,920)
Top 25% $39k (exactly $38,610)
Top 5% $13M (exactly $13,395,985)
Developers, 2 yr 56
Released games 142
Announced 56
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Farming
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Agriculture; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Building, Farming Sim
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 90,553 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.1k, median $5.9k, 1 in 4 over $38k, 1 in 20 over $13M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.1k. 7 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 56 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Agriculture with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Time ManagementFair57 devs · median $2.3k · 73 announced
  2. + IdlerFair72 devs · median $1.5k · 67 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair51 devs · median $683 · 60 announced
  4. + CatsFair18 devs · median $449 · 17 announced
  5. + God GameLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  6. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds14 devs · median $58k · 13 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds19 devs · median $28k · 39 announced
  8. + Dating SimPoor odds15 devs · median $24k · 38 announced
  9. + RPGPoor odds72 devs · median $19k · 180 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds58 devs · median $19k · 133 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds17 devs · median $19k · 39 announced
  12. + FishingPoor odds48 devs · median $18k · 80 announced

All 83 pairs on the Agriculture page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Farthest Frontier 2025 · $26M Dinkum 2025 · $15M Fields of Mistria 2026 · $13M STORY OF SEASONS: Friends of Mineral Town 2020 · $6.3M HARVESTELLA 2022 · $3.7M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Farthest Frontier $34.99 24,444 86% 733k $26M (exactly $25,658,867) Crate Entertainment
Dinkum $19.99 24,641 92% 739k $15M (exactly $14,777,208) James Bendon
Fields of Mistria $13.99 31,918 96% 958k $13M (exactly $13,395,985) NPC Studio
STORY OF SEASONS: Friends of Mineral Town older $39.99 5,268 93% 158k $6.3M (exactly $6,320,020) Marvelous Inc.
HARVESTELLA older $59.99 2,071 77% 62k $3.7M (exactly $3,727,179) Square Enix
Aloft · EA $24.99 3,057 82% 92k $2.3M (exactly $2,291,833) Astrolabe Interactive Inc.
Farming Simulator 2013: Titanium Edition older $14.99 3,926 91% 118k $1.8M (exactly $1,765,522) GIANTS Software
Farm Manager 2018 older $19.99 2,524 70% 76k $1.5M (exactly $1,513,643) Cleversan Games
STORY OF SEASONS: A Wonderful Life older $39.99 1,199 78% 36k $1.4M (exactly $1,438,440) Marvelous Inc.
Farmer's Life older $19.99 2,373 89% 71k $1.4M (exactly $1,423,088) FreeMind S.A.
Old Market Simulator $9.99 4,333 87% 130k $1.3M (exactly $1,298,600) Alcedo Games
Zombie Graveyard Simulator $14.99 805 89% 24k $362k (exactly $362,008) threeW
Cropdeck $12.99 430 92% 13k $168k (exactly $167,571) Piotrek
Rise of Industry 2 $34.99 154 55% 4.6k $162k (exactly $161,654) SomaSim
Sugardew Island - Your cozy farm shop $16.99 291 76% 8.7k $148k (exactly $148,323) rokaplay
MR FARMBOY $9.99 480 85% 14k $144k (exactly $143,856) mrdboy

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.