Do I ship it?

GamesMechanicsPolitical Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Political Sim?

Political Sim

Of 256 developers who shipped a Political Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 490 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×3.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $390; 1 in 20 cleared $400k, ×843 the market median. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 490 games are announced against 165 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 490 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Political Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 256
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.5k → $10k → $4.3k → $3.4k → $1.4k → $959 → $1.5k (still earning) → $1.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Political Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 256
Bottom 30% $390 (exactly $390)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,436)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,738)
Top 5% $401k (exactly $400,600)
Developers, 2 yr 256
Released games 709
Announced 490
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Political Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Political Sim
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 61% positive over 93,767 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $390, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $390. 8 in 10 of the 119 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 490 games are announced against 165 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Political Sim

54 pairs with a mechanicwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Political Sim + Idler Fair $1.2k 20 devs
  2. Political Sim + Incremental Fair $832 17 devs
  3. Political Sim + Board Game Fair $600 18 devs
  4. Political Sim + Tabletop Fair $600 12 devs
  5. Combat + Political Sim Poor odds $49k 14 devs
  6. 4X + Political Sim Poor odds $12k 29 devs
  7. Building + Political Sim Poor odds $9.6k 37 devs
  8. Colony Sim + Political Sim Poor odds $9.4k 21 devs
  9. Base Building + Political Sim Poor odds $9.4k 20 devs
  10. Political Sim + Procedural Generation Poor odds $9.4k 18 devs
  11. Sandbox + Political Sim Poor odds $7.4k 55 devs
  12. Character Customization + Political Sim Poor odds $6.2k 12 devs
  13. PvP + Political Sim Poor odds $6.0k 18 devs
  14. Wargame + Political Sim Poor odds $5.7k 61 devs
  15. Tactical + Political Sim Poor odds $5.4k 37 devs
  16. Life Sim + Political Sim Poor odds $5.4k 33 devs
  17. Open World + Political Sim Poor odds $4.8k 11 devs
  18. Diplomacy + Political Sim Poor odds $4.8k 52 devs
  19. Grand Strategy + Political Sim Poor odds $4.0k 83 devs
  20. City Builder + Political Sim Poor odds $3.6k 29 devs
  21. Exploration + Political Sim Poor odds $3.6k 21 devs
  22. Strategy RPG + Political Sim Poor odds $3.3k 36 devs
  23. RTS + Political Sim Poor odds $3.3k 41 devs
  24. Real Time Tactics + Political Sim Poor odds $3.3k 31 devs
  25. RPG + Political Sim Poor odds $3.0k 51 devs
  26. Management + Political Sim Poor odds $2.8k 118 devs
  27. Political Sim + Point & Click Poor odds $2.5k 28 devs
  28. Political Sim + Trading Poor odds $1.9k 19 devs
  29. Strategy + Political Sim Poor odds $1.8k 196 devs
  30. Simulation + Political Sim Poor odds $1.7k 192 devs
  31. Economy + Political Sim Poor odds $1.7k 102 devs
  32. Political Sim + Multiple Endings Poor odds $1.7k 60 devs
  33. Political Sim + Resource Management Poor odds $1.6k 76 devs
  34. Political Sim + Visual Novel Poor odds $1.6k 25 devs
  35. God Game + Political Sim Poor odds $1.6k 19 devs
  36. Choices Matter + Political Sim Poor odds $1.3k 104 devs
  37. Survival + Political Sim Poor odds $1.3k 14 devs
  38. Turn-Based Tactics + Political Sim Poor odds $1.2k 34 devs
  39. Turn-Based Strategy + Political Sim Poor odds $1.2k 67 devs
  40. Political Sim + Time Management Poor odds $1.1k 27 devs
  41. Political Sim + Puzzle Poor odds $1.1k 16 devs
  42. PvE + Political Sim Poor odds $1.1k 17 devs
  43. Immersive Sim + Political Sim Poor odds $959 40 devs
  44. Adventure + Political Sim Poor odds $899 31 devs
  45. Political Sim + Logic Poor odds $899 9 devs
  46. Crafting + Political Sim Poor odds $898 13 devs
  47. Political Sim + Investigation Poor odds $898 13 devs
  48. Political Sim + Choose Your Own Adventure Poor odds $832 33 devs
  49. Political Sim + Interactive Fiction Poor odds $598 27 devs
  50. Political Sim + Card Game Poor odds $450 23 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sid Meier's Civilization VII $69.99 44,789 48% 1.3M $94M (exactly $94,043,463) Firaxis Games
Victoria 3 older $49.99 41,251 71% 1.2M $62M (exactly $61,864,125) Paradox Development Studio
WorldBox - God Simulator · EA older $19.99 51,071 95% 1.5M $31M (exactly $30,627,279) Maxim Karpenko
Frostpunk 2 $44.99 20,872 74% 626k $28M (exactly $28,170,938) 11 bit studios
Tropico 6 older $39.99 19,837 88% 595k $24M (exactly $23,798,449) Limbic Entertainment, Realmforge Studios
Imperator: Rome older $39.99 19,492 65% 585k $23M (exactly $23,384,552) Paradox Development Studio
Halo: Campaign Evolved $49.99 12,512 61% 375k $19M (exactly $18,764,246) Halo Studios
Eco · EA older $29.99 11,375 80% 341k $10M (exactly $10,234,088) Strange Loop Games
Victoria II older $19.99 16,504 92% 495k $9.9M (exactly $9,897,449) Paradox Development Studio
Beholder older $13.99 23,199 91% 696k $9.7M (exactly $9,736,620) Alawar Stargaze (Warm Lamp Games)
Beholder: Conductor $13.99 4,532 91% 136k $1.9M (exactly $1,902,080) Alawar
MEMORIAPOLIS $32.00 1,752 75% 53k $1.7M (exactly $1,681,920) 5PM Studio
Ascension · EA $19.99 2,437 60% 73k $1.5M (exactly $1,461,469) Element Game 微元游戏
The Life and Suffering of Prince Jerian $24.99 1,356 74% 41k $1.0M (exactly $1,016,593) Schisma Games
Age of History 2: Definitive Edition $9.99 2,600 83% 78k $779k (exactly $779,220) Łukasz Jakowski
Politics The Game $9.99 2,526 95% 76k $757k (exactly $757,042) Simplicity Games
Geo-Political Simulator 5 $59.99 391 34% 12k $704k (exactly $703,683) Eversim

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.