Do I ship it?

GamesPolitical SimPolitical Sim + Puzzle

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Political Sim?

Political Sim + Puzzle

Only 16 developers shipped a Puzzle Political Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Beholder: Conductor, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×2.4 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $1.9M, ×4004 the market median. Revenue is up 260% on the market; 31 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 260% on the market, 31 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Political Sim + Puzzle
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $3.0k → $401k → $899 → $898 (still earning) → $24k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Political Sim + Puzzle: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,134)
Top 25% $24k (exactly $24,465)
Top 5% $1.9M (exactly $1,902,080)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 56
Announced 31
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Political Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Political Sim, Puzzle; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Choices Matter, Simulation, Investigation
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 6,452 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $24k, 1 in 20 over $1.9M.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Political Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DetectiveFair10 devs · median $9.9k · 15 announced
  2. + Psychological HorrorFair10 devs · median $4.8k · 16 announced
  3. + IdlerFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 14 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair17 devs · median $832 · 16 announced
  5. + Board GameFair18 devs · median $600 · 13 announced
  6. + TabletopFair12 devs · median $600 · 12 announced
  7. + CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $49k · 22 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds24 devs · median $17k · 33 announced
  9. + FuturisticPoor odds16 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  10. + 4XPoor odds29 devs · median $12k · 50 announced
  11. + Cold WarPoor odds15 devs · median $9.9k · 23 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $9.6k · 83 announced

All 72 pairs on the Political Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Beholder: Conductor $13.99 4,532 91% 136k $1.9M (exactly $1,902,080) Alawar
We. The Revolution older $19.99 1,997 73% 60k $1.2M (exactly $1,197,601) Polyslash
Urbek City Builder older $18.99 1,830 89% 55k $1.0M (exactly $1,042,551) Fridus
Orwell: Ignorance is Strength older $9.99 1,506 77% 45k $451k (exactly $451,348) Osmotic Studios
The Darkest Files $19.99 668 95% 20k $401k (exactly $400,600) Paintbucket Games
JudgeSim older $6.99 1,376 84% 41k $289k (exactly $288,547) DelusionArt Studio
Not Tonight 2 older $19.99 465 76% 14k $279k (exactly $278,860) PanicBarn
7 Grand Steps: What Ancients Begat older $19.99 301 61% 9.0k $181k (exactly $180,510) Mousechief
Security 51 $9.99 454 71% 14k $136k (exactly $136,064) Alawar
HEADLINER older $4.99 890 76% 27k $133k (exactly $133,233) Unbound Creations
Technotopia $4.99 599 86% 18k $90k (exactly $89,670) Yustas
What Awaits, Aleksey? $15.99 51 86% 1.5k $24k (exactly $24,465) JKBC
Ministry of Truth: False Memory $6.99 69 85% 2.1k $14k (exactly $14,469) IKKOSAMA, False Memory Dept.
Hologuard $7.99 48 95% 1.4k $12k (exactly $11,506) illuCalab
Snemovna · EA $7.99 8 100% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Richard Haraším
Black Border 2 $1.99 19 63% 570 $1.1k (exactly $1,134) Bitzooma
Capitalist Misadventures $7.99 4 75% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Caramelo Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.