Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Political Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Political Sim Life Sim?

Life Sim + Political Sim

Of 33 developers who shipped a Political Sim Life Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 70 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.4k, ×11 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630; 1 in 20 cleared $750k, ×1594 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 70 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 11.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 70 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Political Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $11k → $11k → $3.0k → $599 → $13k → $115k → $5.4k (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Life Sim + Political Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $629 (exactly $629)
Median $5.4k (exactly $5,397)
Top 25% $31k (exactly $31,479)
Top 5% $757k (exactly $757,042)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 83
Announced 70
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Political Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Life Sim, Political Sim; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Strategy
Price point
$14.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 5,636 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $5.4k, 1 in 4 over $31k, 1 in 20 over $750k.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 70 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
WorldBox - God Simulator · EA older $19.99 51,071 95% 1.5M $31M (exactly $30,627,279) Maxim Karpenko
TheoTown older $9.99 4,631 94% 139k $1.4M (exactly $1,387,911) Lobby Divinus
The Guild II Renaissance older $9.99 3,540 82% 106k $1.1M (exactly $1,060,938) Runeforge Game Studio
The Life and Suffering of Prince Jerian $24.99 1,356 74% 41k $1.0M (exactly $1,016,593) Schisma Games
Politics The Game $9.99 2,526 95% 76k $757k (exactly $757,042) Simplicity Games
Deisim older $14.99 873 93% 26k $393k (exactly $392,588) Myron Games
The End of History · EA $28.00 366 68% 11k $307k (exactly $307,440) Tatamibeya
Not Tonight 2 older $19.99 465 76% 14k $279k (exactly $278,860) PanicBarn
7 Grand Steps: What Ancients Begat older $19.99 301 61% 9.0k $181k (exactly $180,510) Mousechief
Sinner Maker · EA $9.66 545 91% 16k $158k (exactly $157,941) Pantokrator
Monarch : Medieval Remastered $11.99 365 80% 11k $131k (exactly $131,290) Mr.Lordy
Galaxy Princess Zorana $24.99 154 88% 4.6k $115k (exactly $115,454) Hanako Games
Life Inc. · EA $19.99 154 88% 4.6k $92k (exactly $92,354) Sergio Garcia
Medieval Legacy $19.99 66 86% 2.0k $40k (exactly $39,580) Ninetoplay
Rich List: The Order · EA $14.99 70 90% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,479) YUANYE TECH
Your Crown Is Mine $18.99 34 82% 1.0k $19k (exactly $19,370) Lyyycaena

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.