Do I ship it?

GamesPolitical SimPolitical Sim + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Political Sim?

Political Sim + Choose Your Own Adventure

Of 33 developers who shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Political Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 82 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $830, ×1.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $1.0M, ×2140 the market median. Revenue is up 320% on the market; 82 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 320% on the market, 82 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Political Sim + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $47k → $449 → $4.3k → $1.0k → $832 → $2.8k → $598 (still earning) → $3.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Political Sim + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $832 (exactly $832)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,506)
Top 5% $1.0M (exactly $1,016,593)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 102
Announced 82
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 320% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Political Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Political Sim, Choose Your Own Adventure; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Choices Matter, Management
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 8,781 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $830, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $1.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 82 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Political Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DetectiveFair10 devs · median $9.9k · 15 announced
  2. + Psychological HorrorFair10 devs · median $4.8k · 16 announced
  3. + IdlerFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 14 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair17 devs · median $832 · 16 announced
  5. + Board GameFair18 devs · median $600 · 13 announced
  6. + TabletopFair12 devs · median $600 · 12 announced
  7. + CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $49k · 22 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds24 devs · median $17k · 33 announced
  9. + FuturisticPoor odds16 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  10. + 4XPoor odds29 devs · median $12k · 50 announced
  11. + Cold WarPoor odds15 devs · median $9.9k · 23 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $9.6k · 83 announced

All 72 pairs on the Political Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Not For Broadcast older $24.99 10,337 94% 310k $7.7M (exactly $7,749,649) NotGames
Suzerain older $19.99 10,574 92% 317k $6.3M (exactly $6,341,228) Torpor Games
Beholder: Conductor $13.99 4,532 91% 136k $1.9M (exactly $1,902,080) Alawar
Long Live The Queen older $9.99 5,832 94% 175k $1.7M (exactly $1,747,850) Hanako Games
Beholder 3 older $17.99 2,275 63% 68k $1.2M (exactly $1,227,818) Paintbucket Games
The Life and Suffering of Prince Jerian $24.99 1,356 74% 41k $1.0M (exactly $1,016,593) Schisma Games
Politics The Game $9.99 2,526 95% 76k $757k (exactly $757,042) Simplicity Games
SEX with HITLER older $6.99 3,358 81% 101k $704k (exactly $704,173) Adolf Games
Mind Scanners older $16.99 1,095 78% 33k $558k (exactly $558,122) The Outer Zone
King Of The Castle older $9.99 1,403 90% 42k $420k (exactly $420,479) Tributary Games
Lunar Ascendant $14.99 86 44% 2.6k $39k (exactly $38,674) Darts Games
Your Crown Is Mine $18.99 34 82% 1.0k $19k (exactly $19,370) Lyyycaena
Marry a Deep One: Innsmouth Simulator $17.99 32 50% 960 $17k (exactly $17,270) simulinati
QSVT: ¡Que se vayan todos! $6.99 75 88% 2.3k $16k (exactly $15,728) Sendero tecnológico
Ministry of Truth: False Memory $6.99 69 85% 2.1k $14k (exactly $14,469) IKKOSAMA, False Memory Dept.
Hologuard $7.99 48 95% 1.4k $12k (exactly $11,506) illuCalab
The Three Kingdoms of Shadows: Xuzhou $6.99 23 82% 690 $4.8k (exactly $4,823) 鹏砚

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.