Do I ship it?

Games › Mechanics › Motorbike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Motorbike game?

Motorbike

Of 65 developers who shipped a Motorbike game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 85 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×0.7 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240. 85 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper, while revenue is up 30% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 85 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Motorbike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 65
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.7k → $8.2k → $1.2k → $718 → $2.7k → $898 → $959 (still earning) → $1.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Motorbike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 65
Bottom 30% $238 (exactly $238)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,086)
Top 5% $1.5M (exactly $1,527,181)
Developers, 2 yr 65
Released games 240
Announced 85
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Motorbike
effort 7 / 10 · low · two-wheel physics and rider animation

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Motorbike
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 34,515 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $1.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 40 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 85 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Motorbike

19 pairs with a mechanicwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Motorbike + Action-Adventure Fair $2.3k 9 devs
  2. Motocross + Motorbike Long shot $449 17 devs
  3. Motorbike + Sports Poor odds $14k 18 devs
  4. Motorbike + Simulation Poor odds $2.3k 31 devs
  5. Motorbike + Character Customization Poor odds $1.5k 12 devs
  6. Motorbike + Physics Poor odds $1.0k 23 devs
  7. Bikes + Motorbike Poor odds $959 24 devs
  8. Motorbike + Adventure Poor odds $959 12 devs
  9. Motorbike + Racing Poor odds $898 45 devs
  10. Motorbike + Driving Poor odds $898 33 devs
  11. Motorbike + Action Poor odds $898 30 devs
  12. Automobile Sim + Motorbike Poor odds $898 24 devs
  13. Motorbike + Offroad Poor odds $839 11 devs
  14. Motorbike + Arcade Poor odds $719 26 devs
  15. Motorbike + Exploration Dead $38k 12 devs
  16. Immersive Sim + Motorbike Dead $16k 11 devs
  17. Open World + Motorbike Dead $12k 10 devs
  18. Motorbike + Combat Racing Dead $2.2k 10 devs
  19. PvP + Motorbike Dead $1.6k 10 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Days Gone 2021 · $99M The Crew Motorfest 2024 · $51M MX Bikes 2019 · EA · $37M RIDE 4 2020 · $12M Ghostrunner 2 2023 · $9.6M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Days Gone older $39.99 82,655 92% 2.5M $99M (exactly $99,161,204) Bend Studio
The Crew Motorfest older $69.99 24,230 78% 727k $51M (exactly $50,875,731) Ubisoft Ivory Tower
MX Bikes · EA older $34.99 35,684 94% 1.1M $37M (exactly $37,457,495) PiBoSo
RIDE 4 older $39.99 9,921 83% 298k $12M (exactly $11,902,224) Milestone S.r.l.
Ghostrunner 2 older $39.99 7,981 80% 239k $9.6M (exactly $9,574,806) One More Level
Mon Bazou $15.99 19,922 97% 598k $9.6M (exactly $9,556,583) Santa Goat
Road Redemption older $19.99 10,842 83% 325k $6.5M (exactly $6,501,947) Redemption Road, Pixel Dash Studios
MX vs ATV Legends older $39.99 4,524 82% 136k $5.4M (exactly $5,427,443) Rainbow Studios
RIDE 5 older $49.99 3,368 82% 101k $5.1M (exactly $5,050,990) Milestone S.r.l.
Burnout™ Paradise Remastered older $19.99 7,348 64% 220k $4.4M (exactly $4,406,596) Stellar Entertainment, Criterion Games
Sledders $29.99 4,372 95% 131k $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) Hanki Games
My Garage $19.99 4,010 90% 120k $2.4M (exactly $2,404,797) Viking Game Studio
Finnish Cottage Simulator · EA $14.99 3,396 93% 102k $1.5M (exactly $1,527,181) RANELA GAMES
RIDE 6 $59.99 549 68% 16k $988k (exactly $988,035) Milestone S.r.l.
MotoGP™25 $49.99 592 74% 18k $888k (exactly $887,822) Milestone S.r.l.
Monster Energy Supercross 25 - The Official Video Game $59.99 276 49% 8.3k $497k (exactly $496,717) Milestone S.r.l.
MotoGP™26 $59.99 225 64% 6.8k $405k (exactly $404,932) Milestone S.r.l.
VRacer Hoverbike $29.99 307 89% 9.2k $276k (exactly $276,208) VertexBreakers
GIRLS MADE PUDDING $9.99 866 95% 26k $260k (exactly $259,540) Kazuhide Oka

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.