Should I ship a PvP Motorbike game?
PvP + Motorbike
Only 10 developers shipped a PvP Motorbike game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, RIDE 6, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.6k against a market of $1.5k. 15 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $839 (exactly $839) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.6k (exactly $1,648) |
| Top 25% | $16k (exactly $16,195) |
| Top 5% | $888k (exactly $887,822) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 45 |
| Announced | 15 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $19.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 160% on the market, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP, Motorbike; all of the top 25% also carry Physics, Racing, Sports
- Price point
- $19.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, Third Person, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $19.99.
The top 10 games average 64% positive over 1,771 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $840. 7 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
The Crew Motorfest 2024 · $51M 
RIDE 4 2020 · $12M 
Road Redemption 2017 · $6.5M 
MX vs ATV Legends 2022 · $5.4M 
RIDE 5 2023 · $5.1M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Crew Motorfest | older | $69.99 | 24,230 78% | 727k | $51M (exactly $50,875,731) | Ubisoft Ivory Tower |
| | RIDE 4 | older | $39.99 | 9,921 83% | 298k | $12M (exactly $11,902,224) | Milestone S.r.l. |
| | Road Redemption | older | $19.99 | 10,842 83% | 325k | $6.5M (exactly $6,501,947) | Redemption Road, Pixel Dash Studios |
| | MX vs ATV Legends | older | $39.99 | 4,524 82% | 136k | $5.4M (exactly $5,427,443) | Rainbow Studios |
| | RIDE 5 | older | $49.99 | 3,368 82% | 101k | $5.1M (exactly $5,050,990) | Milestone S.r.l. |
 | TrackDayR | · EA older | $24.99 | 2,213 86% | 66k | $1.7M (exactly $1,659,086) | MadCow S.r.l. |
 | MXGP 2021 - The Official Motocross Videogame | older | $39.99 | 1,165 85% | 35k | $1.4M (exactly $1,397,650) | Milestone S.r.l. |
 | MotoGP™22 | older | $29.99 | 1,338 82% | 40k | $1.2M (exactly $1,203,799) | Milestone S.r.l. |
 | MotoGP™24 | older | $39.99 | 996 83% | 30k | $1.2M (exactly $1,194,901) | Milestone S.r.l. |
 | HOT WHEELS UNLEASHED™ 2 - Turbocharged | older | $39.99 | 953 77% | 29k | $1.1M (exactly $1,143,314) | Milestone S.r.l. |
 | RIDE 6 | $59.99 | 549 68% | 16k | $988k (exactly $988,035) | Milestone S.r.l. | |
 | MotoGP™25 | $49.99 | 592 74% | 18k | $888k (exactly $887,822) | Milestone S.r.l. | |
 | Monster Energy Supercross 25 - The Official Video Game | $59.99 | 276 49% | 8.3k | $497k (exactly $496,717) | Milestone S.r.l. | |
 | MotoGP™26 | $59.99 | 225 64% | 6.8k | $405k (exactly $404,932) | Milestone S.r.l. | |
 | MXGP 24: The Official Game | $59.99 | 93 26% | 2.8k | $167k (exactly $167,372) | Artefacts Studio | |
 | VRider SBK™ | $29.99 | 18 55% | 540 | $16k (exactly $16,195) | Funny Tales | |
 | RollCats | $19.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $2.4k (exactly $2,399) | Hoglet Interactive | |
 | Hover REV Hispeed Burst | $10.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $1.6k (exactly $1,648) | JKK_WORKS | |
 | Evel Knievel | $9.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) | Barnstorm Games | |
 | Dark Rally | $6.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $839 (exactly $839) | PLOP Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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