Do I ship it?

GamesMotorbikeMotorbike + Action-Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action-Adventure Motorbike game?

Motorbike + Action-Adventure

Only 9 developers shipped an Action-Adventure Motorbike game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sledders, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×1.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $480. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 12 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 15% on the market, 12 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Motorbike + Action-Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $2.3k → $600 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Motorbike + Action-Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $480 (exactly $480)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,336)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,598)
Top 5% $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 25
Announced 12
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Motorbike
effort 7 / 10 · low · two-wheel physics and rider animation
Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Motorbike, Action-Adventure
Price point
$12.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 95,968 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $3.9M.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 12 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Motorbike with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MotocrossLong shot17 devs · median $449 · 17 announced
  2. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $14k · 11 announced
  3. + SimulationPoor odds31 devs · median $2.3k · 36 announced
  4. + Character CustomizationPoor odds12 devs · median $1.5k · 14 announced
  5. + PhysicsPoor odds23 devs · median $1.0k · 23 announced
  6. + BikesPoor odds24 devs · median $959 · 28 announced
  7. + AdventurePoor odds12 devs · median $959 · 23 announced
  8. + RacingPoor odds45 devs · median $898 · 55 announced
  9. + ActionPoor odds30 devs · median $898 · 36 announced
  10. + DrivingPoor odds33 devs · median $898 · 45 announced
  11. + Automobile SimPoor odds24 devs · median $898 · 24 announced
  12. + OffroadPoor odds11 devs · median $839 · 18 announced

All 18 pairs on the Motorbike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Days Gone older $39.99 82,655 92% 2.5M $99M (exactly $99,161,204) Bend Studio
Ghostrunner 2 older $39.99 7,981 80% 239k $9.6M (exactly $9,574,806) One More Level
Sledders $29.99 4,372 95% 131k $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) Hanki Games
El Shaddai ASCENSION OF THE METATRON HD Remaster older $29.99 457 83% 14k $411k (exactly $411,163) crim Co., Ltd.
River City Girls Zero older $14.99 190 67% 5.7k $85k (exactly $85,443) WayForward
Just Ride:Apparent Horizon 狂飙:极限视界 older $19.99 137 68% 4.1k $82k (exactly $82,159) Horus Games
QUIT TODAY older $11.99 93 90% 2.8k $33k (exactly $33,452) YOHCAN Co., Ltd.
Moto Rush Reborn $12.99 43 97% 1.3k $17k (exactly $16,757) Baltoro Games
MotoX older $7.99 34 17% 1.0k $8.2k (exactly $8,150) Enver Studio
CODE:VALKYRIE III $19.99 6 66% 180 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Ulimworks
MX Bodycam Bikes Racing · EA $4.99 17 70% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) GLOBAL SCRIPTUM
Delivery Up Together $5.99 13 69% 390 $2.3k (exactly $2,336) Artem Breineng
Sakura Drift $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) Miki Games
Tropical Hop $15.99 1 0% 30 $480 (exactly $480) cls studios
Motor Racing Battle $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Liquid Meow
Petro Hunter $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) The Origin

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.